Ibovespa closes at 172,236.05 points; dollar closes close to stability at R$5.506 and oil falls sharply after Trump's statements about Iran
AI-generated summary
The Ibovespa recorded its biggest daily advance since October 5th, when it soared 7.7% following the results of the first round of the presidential elections. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva reaffirmed the government's commitment to fiscal responsibility, without announcing concrete measures. The Central Bank's Focus bulletin showed an increase in the Selic Rate projections to 13.75% per year at the end of 2026, the 2027 inflation to 4.90%, and a reduction in the GDP growth forecast to 1.15%.
The financial market had a session of strong recovery this Monday (9), with the Brazilian stock market advancing more than 2% and returning to 172 thousand points.
In New York, the main indices also closed higher, driven by the recovery in technology shares and the decline in oil prices.
In the foreign exchange market, the dollar closed close to stability, with a slight drop, quoted at R$5.506. Oil registered a strong devaluation, after statements by United States President Donald Trump reduced expectations of new American attacks against Iran.
Numbers of the day
Ibovespa: 172,236.05 points (+2.22%);
Commercial dollar: R$5.506 (-0.06%);
Dow Jones: 52,389.75 points (+2.15%);
S&P 500: 7,549.94 points (+2.34%);
Nasdaq: 25,253.14 points. (+2.74%);
Brent oil: US$92.57 per barrel (-5.85%);
WTI oil (December): US$86.85 per barrel (-4.38%).
Ibovespa
The Ibovespa closed up 2.22%, at 172,236.05 points, in the biggest daily advance since October 5th, when the index soared 7.7%, following the results of the first round of the presidential elections. During today's trading session, the indicator fluctuated between 168,498.45 and 172,236.05 points.
The positive performance was mainly supported by shares in the banking and mining sectors, in addition to the recovery of international markets and the relief in commercial and geopolitical tensions.
Shares of banks and companies linked to consumption led the gains, followed by mining companies. However, Petrobras shares, the most traded on the stock exchange, fell due to the sharp drop in oil prices.
Petrobras' common shares (voting at shareholders' meetings) fell 0.39%. Preferred papers (with preference in the distribution of dividends) lost 0.37%.
Stable exchange rate
The commercial dollar ended the session with a slight drop of 0.06%, quoted at R$5.5058, practically stable in relation to the previous closing. During the day, the American currency fluctuated between R$5.489 and R$5.528.
Abroad, the dollar also lost strength against other currencies. The DXY index, which measures the performance of the American currency against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.54%, to 101,670 points.
In the domestic scenario, investors followed President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's speech on Sunday night (8). The re-elected president reaffirmed the government's commitment to fiscal responsibility and expressed concern about public debt and high interest rates, but did not announce concrete measures.
Another highlight was the publication of the Focus bulletin by the Central Bank. The survey showed that the economists consulted raised the Selic Rate projection from 13.50% to 13.75% per year, at the end of 2026.
The estimate for inflation in 2027, measured by the Broad National Consumer Price Index (IPCA), also increased, going from 4.76% to 4.90%.
The Brazilian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecast fell from 1.20% to 1.15%.
International scholarships
In New York, the main indices ended the session with a strong rise, recovering part of the losses recorded in the previous week, when technology shares came under pressure from investors.
The Dow Jones (of industrial companies) advanced 2.15%, to 52,389.75 points. The S&P 500 (of the 500 largest companies) rose 2.34%, to 7,549.94 points. The Nasdaq (of technology companies) had the best performance among the three indicators, with an appreciation of 2.74%, at 25,253.14 points.
The recovery was mainly driven by technology and semiconductor stocks. The fall in oil prices also contributed to the positive movement, by reducing concerns about inflation and favoring the search for riskier assets.
Contrary to the market, Nvidia shares fell 5.14%, amid news about an independent investigation involving its executive president, Jensen Huang. Despite the chipmaker's decline, the positive performance of other companies in the sector helped sustain the gains in American indices.
Falling oil
Oil futures contracts closed sharply in value this Monday, reaching their lowest level in ten weeks.
The move followed statements by United States President Donald Trump, who considered it highly unlikely that new American attacks would be carried out against Iran if negotiations to end the conflict progress.
The signal reduced some of investors' concerns about a military escalation in the Middle East and possible interruptions in the global supply of the product.
A reference for international negotiations, a barrel of Brent oil fell 5.85%, to US$92.57. WTI oil, traded in the United States, fell 4.38%, to US$86.85 per barrel.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Central Bank will continue to raise the Selic Rate in response to inflation and public debt projections.
Likely · Within months
Oil prices will remain under downward pressure if negotiations between the United States and Iran progress.
Possible · Within weeks

JBS reported net profit of US$164 million in the third quarter, a drop of 72% compared to the same period last year, with profit before adjusted EBITDA of US$1.181 billion. Executives point to a favorable scenario for 2027, driven by the supply of cattle from the United States and the new quota from China.

The vacancy rate of high-end logistics condominiums in Brazil fell to 4.9% in the third quarter of 2026, the lowest level in the historical series started in 2013, according to Binswanger Brazil. The total stock reached 39.6 million square meters in 23 states, with Mercado Livre leading the largest occupations in the period.

The Federal Court in the Federal District temporarily suspended part of the new PAT rules for companies associated with ABBT, including mandatory migration to open arrangements, rate limits and transfer deadlines, temporarily maintaining the previous regime.

The PIX system reached a new record for daily transactions, surpassing the September mark. The Central Bank of Brazil also announced new requirements for banking applications, aiming to facilitate the challenge of fraud from March 2027.
Research by Instituto Locomotiva reveals that the share of class C families without financial reserves fell from 61% in 2016 to 29% this year. Intention to invest in stocks or funds tripled from 17% to 51% in a decade. Study interviewed 2,006 internet users aged 18 or over across Brazil.
Starting this Monday (9), the Central Bank provides consultation on the website to check which institutions are authorized or have started the process to provide services with virtual assets, such as cryptocurrencies, seeking transparency in the sector regulated by Resolution 520/2025.