
AI-generated summary
The war between Russia and Ukraine has continued since February 2022, with a mutual escalation in attacks on infrastructure, bridges and cities, while Russia warns against using nuclear weapons in defense of Kaliningrad, and Britain faces an investigation into the possibility of an Iranian connection to an attack plan on an air base used by American forces.
The Kremlin said Friday that Russia aims to completely stop the supply of weapons and fuel to the Ukrainian army through the Black Sea. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov added: “It is very important for us to completely stop naval supplies to Ukraine of military equipment, ammunition, fuel for the Ukrainian army and the like, which are measures that are currently underway and will continue.” Russia has repeatedly rejected the idea of a limited truce in the Black Sea, where since July, both sides have escalated their attacks on ships, ports, and power plants.
Targeting bridges
Meanwhile, traffic was suspended on Friday on a major bridge in Kiev that was subjected to new Russian strikes overnight, while movement was restricted on a number of other bridges, according to what the mayor of the Ukrainian capital said. Mayor Klitschko announced the restriction of traffic on Friday on two other main bridges, the Patton Bridge and the Metro Bridge. There were no reports of any attacks on these two bridges.
In the morning, Agence France-Presse reported that restrictions had been implemented on a fourth bridge, the Darnitsky Bridge, in addition to a major traffic jam throughout Kiev.
This bombing comes in light of Russia's escalation in recent days of its attacks on civilian facilities, especially logistics and communications, in Kiev and its environs. According to the Ukrainian army, Russia launched an attack on the country on Thursday night with more than a hundred drones, including about 50 jet drones that are difficult to shoot down. Kyiv says it has been able to neutralize most of them. The army reported that 11 different sites were damaged, in addition to drone debris falling in five other sites.
These restrictions caused a severe traffic jam that paralyzed many areas of Kiev, which is inhabited by about three million people, and which relies heavily on its eight bridges extending over the Dnieper River, which divides it into two parts. Mayor Vitali Klitschko indicated via the Telegram application that traffic on the southern bridge “has completely stopped.”
On Thursday, the bridge was subjected for the first time to a Russian attack with drones, and it was closed for a period of no less than two hours after it was inspected and it was determined that there was “no serious damage.” On Thursday/Friday night, the bridge was bombed again “several times,” according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. This is the first major attack reported by the authorities on a main bridge in the Ukrainian capital since the start of the Russian invasion in February 2022.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Ukraine had made the resumption of peace talks more difficult by carrying out drone attacks during the Russian Duma elections. Putin added at the Valdai Dialogue Club in Moscow that Russia was ready to resume negotiations on Ukraine on September 21. The day after the Duma elections.
He continued that more than 1,600 drones were launched into Moscow, and noted that polling centers in other regions of Russia were under constant attack. Putin added that Ukraine was wrong in betting on the success of the attacks against Russia. “The enemy expected our society to disintegrate, but anyone can make a mistake,” he said. He explained that Russia remained ready to enter into negotiations and end them as quickly as possible. He added: “But, certainly on terms that are also acceptable to the Russian Federation and the Russian people.” However, Kiev, its Western allies and observers strongly doubt that Moscow is genuinely willing to participate in the talks.
Dangerous scenarios
Putin warned that rounds of escalation in international conflicts could quickly lead to dangerous scenarios. He said that the world was going through a dangerous time, and warned the West against escalating the confrontation over Ukraine by threatening Kaliningrad, the Russian enclave overlooking the Baltic Sea, which Moscow confirmed that it would defend with nuclear weapons if necessary.
In light of the continuation of the Ukraine war, which Putin said Russia had no other choice but to launch to protect its security, the Russian president stressed that his country does not plan to attack any European country, and desires peaceful coexistence. But he stressed that Moscow would resort to using all weapons in its arsenal, including nuclear weapons, if its westernmost lands were threatened, meaning Kaliningrad, located between Poland and Lithuania.
Putin said before the Valdai Forum, which includes international experts on Russian affairs in Moscow: “If the matter reaches the point of a direct attack on the Russian Federation, and here we mean Kaliningrad, and perhaps other lands as well, then the issue of the Russian Federation using all weapons available to our country will, of course, inevitably and immediately be raised on the agenda.” “This is inevitable,” he added.
Putin pointed out that Russia realizes that it will face “an enemy (NATO) that is two times larger than us.” He continued: “We will have to exploit our competitive advantages in this conflict. Yes, of course, France and Britain are nuclear powers, and we are fully aware of that, and we are well aware of this. But no one else has the kind of weapons that Russia has today, and that is our competitive advantage.”
Nuclear warning
Putin's statements come after NATO announced that it had received a diplomatic note this week from Russia warning it that it was prepared to resort to nuclear weapons if the alliance tried to isolate the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, located on the Baltic Sea. The Russian warning highlighted Moscow's concerns about what it describes as the growing threat from the Western military bloc to Kaliningrad. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said that the alliance responded by emphasizing its defensive nature, and that nuclear threats serve no one.
Relations between the two sides have deteriorated since Putin's decision to send forces to Ukraine in 2022, but they have worsened this year. European governments accuse Moscow of escalating a “hybrid war” on the continent through practices that include sabotage and arson.
Lithuanian Defense Minister Robertas Kaunas announced on Friday that his country is testing an air surveillance system developed in Ukraine to protect against drone threats. “Aerial threats change rapidly, so we are adapting our solutions accordingly,” Kaunas said in a statement. “Instead of developing everything from scratch, we adapt systems that are already in use in Ukraine.”
As the war enters its fifth year, Ukraine is considered a world leader in drone warfare. The Lithuanian authorities said that the “Heavenly Fortress” system uses artificial intelligence to monitor and track low-flying drones.
Russia denies these Western accusations, and rejects repeated statements by Western politicians indicating that Moscow is preparing to launch a possible military attack on one of the NATO countries.
Russia will not target Western companies
The Russian President added that Russia does not intend to launch strikes on Western arms supplier companies that produce military equipment for Ukraine, but described the situation as a threat that Moscow is monitoring.
Putin explained, during a speech he delivered before the Valdai Dialogue Club in Moscow in the presence of an international audience, that the greatest threat is Western countries providing Ukraine with satellite data to carry out attacks on Russia.
His statements came after Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian National Security Council, threatened to launch direct strikes on military production facilities in Germany. “We do not threaten anyone, and we do not intend to attack anyone - neither in 2029, nor in 2030, nor in 2050,” Putin said. He repeatedly denied accusations made by Germany and other European Union countries that Russia intends to attack a NATO member state. Before launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin also repeatedly stressed that it had no intention of attacking its smaller neighbour. Putin continued: “But if we are exposed to aggression, we will have to respond.” He also touched on a letter sent by the Russian Foreign Ministry to NATO, in which it threatened to use all weapons possessed by Russia. Putin explained that Russia would also use its “competitive advantages,” referring to nuclear weapons.
Diesel weapon
Putin stressed that Moscow would not supply diesel to global energy markets unless the sanctions imposed on it were lifted, and said that Ukraine had “partially achieved its goals” by launching attacks on Russian oil refineries, attacks that he said had cost Russia 1 percent of its gross domestic product. But he pointed out that Russia is now responding in kind.
Last month, the US President said that Ukraine's attacks on Russian production facilities are causing a global shortage of diesel and pushing prices up, calling on Kiev to stop these attacks.
Putin stated that Russia has enough diesel, “but it will not reach global markets due to the embargo and sanctions imposed on our oil and petroleum products.” This week, Russia extended the ban on diesel exports imposed on fuel producers until the end of October, which increased pressure on the global energy market, which is already suffering from turmoil resulting from wars and supply shortages.
Regarding the assets of Western companies that Russia confiscated within its territory, including Auchan, Nestlé, and Le Roy Merlan, Russian President Vladimir Putin confirmed that they could be returned if an agreement was reached with Moscow. In response to a question about returning these assets if a “positive scenario” was achieved with the West, Putin replied: “Yes, they will recover them,” denouncing at the same time what he described as the “plundering” of the assets of Russian companies in Western countries.
British police arrested a person holding dual British and Iranian citizenship on suspicion of planning terrorist acts, as part of an investigation into a possible attack plot on an air base used by the United States to target Iran, according to what Reuters reported.
Here are the most important details known so far:
What happened?
Police were called to the RAF Fairford base, located 145 kilometers west of London, early on Sunday morning, and arrested five suspects who were released on bail the next day.
The incident began with a report to the police from a local farmer who said she saw three large white trucks parked near the base and a group of “masked men” running into a nearby field while “covering their heads.” The Times reported that another witness who contacted police was among the five people arrested.
Armed police responded to the two reports and arrested the five in the Wilford area, located about 1 mile from the base, before evacuating nearby properties and searching three vehicles.
The police initially arrested the five on suspicion of committing crimes under the Explosives Law, and later stated that they were on suspicion of planning a terrorist act.
What happened next?
US President Donald Trump said that those involved in the plot were planning to cause “huge damage,” while US Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated that there was a “foreign party” behind the matter.
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard said in July that the base was a legitimate target.
British counter-terrorism police later confirmed they were examining whether a foreign country was involved, before Prime Minister Andy Burnham announced on Wednesday a possible link to Iran.
Yesterday, Thursday, a 25-year-old person with dual British and Iranian citizenship was arrested in London in the framework of an investigation that the police described as “extremely complex.”
What did Iran say?
Iran said that the accusations of its involvement are baseless, and yesterday it summoned the British ambassador in Tehran over this issue.
What else do we know?
Police said that no explosives were found as part of the investigation, but a quantity of gasoline was seized during a search of the vehicles.
She added that the five detained men are all British citizens between the ages of 23 and 25 who reside in London.
A photo was circulated on social media that was said to show some of the suspects sitting on the ground, bare-chested, with their hands behind their backs after being detained. Reuters was unable to determine the source of the image and verify it independently.
Following their release on bail, police said the five remain under investigation and are subject to strict conditions regarding their movements and communication with others.
Why might Fairford be a target?
Iranian forces used the Fairford base this year to launch raids on Iran. The base was opened in 1944, and was used by Allied forces during the Normandy Landings.
Fairford is one of the few air bases used by the US Air Force in Europe that is suitable for heavy bombers, and it played a major role in both the First Gulf War in 1991 and the invasion of Iraq in 2003.
Britain announced in July that its armed forces were ready to protect the Fairford base after the Iranian Revolutionary Guard warned Britain against allowing American bombers to launch from the base. The Revolutionary Guard said that any base used to launch attacks would be a legitimate target.
A local official said that surveillance operations in the area had been intensified over the past six weeks following a specific threat from the Iranians.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Russia will continue to target Ukrainian infrastructure including bridges and logistics storage sites
Very likely · Within weeks
Putin will continue to use the threat of nuclear weapons as a means of deterrence against any action deemed a threat to Kaliningrad
Likely · Within months
The British investigation into the suspect, who holds both British and Iranian citizenship, will continue over a possible link to Iran
Very likely · Within weeks

Flydubai temporarily suspended its flights to Tel Aviv at the request of the competent authorities, after flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv was forced to divert and land at Tabuk Airport in Saudi Arabia on September 30, while confirming the safety of all 172 passengers and crew, and launching an official investigation into the incident, while Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman stressed in his speech before the Shura Council the support for regional stability and political resolution of crises, with an emphasis on supporting legitimacy. Yemen and resolving the Palestinian issue on the 1967 borders, and linking this to the implementation of Saudi Vision 2030.

The UK Maritime Trade Operations Authority announced that an oil tanker was struck by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, causing a power outage and a small fire that was extinguished, with no reports of injuries. In this context, the spokesman for the National Security Committee in the Iranian Parliament explained the details of a new Iranian draft law to manage the Strait that prevents Israeli, hostile ships, and those belonging to countries participating in the war against Iran from crossing, while the US Central Command denied Iran’s claims of full control over the Strait, citing the passage of thousands of ships and the transfer of more than a billion barrels of oil during the past few months as evidence of its lack of control.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that any party proven to be involved in the Fly Dubai plane incident will pay a very high price, without providing evidence of any country's responsibility, while Indian and Emirati officials praised the courage of the Indian pilot, Smit Machar, who was able to open the cockpit door and control the attacker after he was stabbed by the assistant, and airlines announced the cancellation of their flights amid escalating tensions with Iran.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that any party proven to be involved in the Fly Dubai plane incident would pay a very heavy price, without providing evidence, while an Emirati official accused the incident of being a serious act of terrorism. Indian and Emirati leaders praised the courage of the Indian pilot, Smit Machar, who was able to open the cockpit door and control the attacker after he was stabbed by the assistant, which led to an emergency landing in Tabuk, Saudi Arabia, amid speculation about Iranian involvement and an American transfer of thousands of soldiers to Middle East.

The Kremlin announced that Russia aims to completely stop the supply of weapons and fuel to the Ukrainian army across the Black Sea, while Russian attacks on bridges in Kiev escalated, which led to restricting movement and disrupting traffic in the Ukrainian capital, which relies on eight bridges over the Dnieper River, amid warnings from Putin about nuclear escalation over Kaliningrad and Western arms supplies to Ukraine.

Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said that the foreign and defense ministers and army commanders of Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan will hold a meeting in Riyadh next week to review field developments, within the framework of a NATO-like joint defense agreement signed by the three countries last month, amid threats from the Iran-backed Houthis to Saudi Arabia.