Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction, odds, time: 2026 NFL Week 8 picks by advanced model
Kansas City Chiefs face Denver Broncos in AFC West rematch at Empower Field at Mile High.
Quick Look
- The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) visit the Denver Broncos (5-2) in a Week 8 NFL AFC West matchup.
- Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 41.5 points.
- Denver's Patrick Surtain II returns from injury for the 4:25 p.m.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Chiefs and Broncos previously met in Week 1, where Kansas City defeated Denver 31-10. Both teams currently hold winning records in the AFC West.
An AFC West rematch with major division implications highlights an NFL Week 8 slate as Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos host Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs on CBS and Paramount+. Kansas City battered Denver 31-10 in Week 1. Fast-forward to now, and the Chiefs (5-1) and Broncos (5-2) are both in solid shape. KC is coming off its first loss, a 20-3 setback at Seattle, while Denver has won three in a row. The Broncos have won the last three meetings on their home field. Star Denver cornerback Patrick Surtain II is set to return from a three-game absence due to an ankle injury.
Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. The latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds have Kansas City as a 1.5-point favorite. The over/under for total points scored is 41.5. Before making any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks or 2026 NFL Week 8 predictions, be sure to see the Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions from SportsLine's proven model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $5,000 for $100 players on betting sites on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks at NFL betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has zoned in on Chiefs vs. Broncos. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Broncos vs. Chiefs:
Top Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions
After 10,000 simulations of Broncos vs. Chiefs, the model is going Under 41.5 points at betting apps. The Under has been the play for most recent games involving these teams. It's 5-2 in Broncos games and 4-2 when the Chiefs play.
The Chiefs have limited half their opponents, holding three of six to 10 points or less. The Broncos rank in the bottom-10 in both rushing and passing. On the flip side, Denver has held its last three foes to between 14 and 17 points, all victories. The Chiefs' high-powered offense is led by RB Kenneth Walker III (701 rushing yards), and the Broncos prefer a run-first approach.
With both teams looking to limit possessions, the model projects 41 combined points as the Under has value 55% of the time. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Chiefs vs. Broncos picks
In addition to going Under, the model also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. See what it is at SportsLine.
Open Questions
- Will the Under 41.5 total points bet prove accurate?
- Which side of the 1.5-point spread will cover?
