Cleitinho Azevedo leads the Datafolha survey for the government of Minas Gerais with 53% of valid votes

Montage shows Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans), Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alezandre Kalil (PDT) — Photo: Reproduction/TV Globo

Datafolha research released this Saturday (3), the eve of the 1st round, shows how the dispute for the government of Minas Gerais is going. Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans) leads, with 53 valid voting intentions. Next come Patrus Ananias (PT), with 21%, and Alexandre Kalil (PDT), with 9%.

Valid votes

Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans): 53%

Patrus Ananias (PT): 21%

Alexandre Kalil (PDT): 9%

Flávio Roscoe (PL): 4%

Mateus Simões (PSD): 4%

Gabriel (MDB): 3%

Ben Mendes (Mission): 2%

Rafael Duda (PSTU): 1%

Professor Túlio Lopes (PCB): 1%

Henrique Areas (PCO): 1%

Indira Xavier (UP): 0%

What are valid votes?

This is the way in which the TSE publishes the official results of the elections. These are the votes cast for candidates. This calculation leaves out blank votes and invalid votes. To win in the 1st round, a candidate needs 50% of the valid votes plus one vote.

2,003 voters aged 16 or over were interviewed between October 2nd and 3rd. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus. The confidence level is 95%. The research was contracted by Globo and the newspaper Folha de S. Paulo and registered with the Electoral Court under number MG-06705/2026.

Total votes

See now the result with the total votes, including blank votes, invalid votes and undecided voters.

Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans): 44% (it was 40% on October 1st)

Patrus Ananias (PT): 18% (was 16%)

Alexandre Kalil (PDT): 8% (was 11%)

Flávio Roscoe (PL): 4% (was 4%)

Mateus Simões (PSD): 3% (was 4%)

Gabriel (MDB): 3% (was 2%)

Ben Mendes (Mission): 1% (was 1%)

Rafael Duda (PSTU): 1% (was 1%)

Professor Túlio Lopes (PCB): 1% (was 1%)

Henrique Areas (PCO): 1% (was 1%)

Indira Xavier (UP): 0% (was 1%)

Blank/null/none: 6% (was 9%)

Undecided: 11% (was 8%)

Spontaneous search

Now look at the spontaneous survey, in which voters respond without having access to a list of candidates.

These results help to measure the degree of vote consolidation. The greater the number of undecided voters the day before, the less consolidated the vote is and the greater the possibility of changes in relation to Sunday's result.

Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans): 29% (was 27% on October 1st)

Patrus Ananias (PT): 11% (was 10%)

Alexandre Kalil (PDT): 3% (was 5%)

Mateus Simões (PSD): 1% (was 1%)

Flávio Roscoe (PL): 1% (was 1%)

Gabriel (MDB): 1% (was 1%)

Votes for PT/PT candidate: 1% (was 1%)

Zema (New): 1% (was 1%)

Other responses: 7% (was 7%)

Blank/null/none: 5% (was 5%)

Undecided: 39% (was 41%)

Vote decision

Among voters who declare their vote for a candidate, 78% say the decision is final. Another 21% say they can still change their mind.

Choice is final: 78%

Can change: 21%

Alexandre Kalil x Cleitinho Azevedo

Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans): 60% (was 56% on October 1st)

Alexandre Kalil (PDT): 24% (was 27%)

Blank/null/none: 9% (was 12%)

Undecided: 7% (was 5%)

Cleitinho Azevedo x Patrus Ananias

Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans): 60% (was 60% on October 1st)

Patrus Ananias (PT): 25% (was 24%)

Blank/null/none: 8% (was 11%)

Undecided: 7% (was 5%)

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