Breaking
ARRonaldo ends his legendary career with Portugal... and hangs up its shirt foreverITX Factor 2026, guest Fulminacci and Lenanie eliminated. LIVETRFatma Betül Sayan Kaya was arrestedKRLIV Golf enters history 5 years after its launch... “Business Ended”USJaguars vs. Ravens odds, first touchdown scorer picks, predictions for Thursday Night Football, NFL Week 9KR[Market View] ‘Blue Wave’ hits the stock market... Is KOSPI ‘Black Friday’ again?KREarly winter cold due to the cold northwest wind... The temperature dropped to minus 5 degrees on Saturday morning.BREnem 2026: women and mixed race are the majority among those enrolled in Piauí; see profileKRNasdaq drops 5.5% due to AI regulation fears... Market capitalization of 3,400 trillion won evaporated in one day (comprehensive report 2)CNZeng Baoyi urgently sent a message asking for help! Identity package disappeared after returning to Taiwan by plane. "More than NT$10,000 in cash offered as reward for good Samaritans"ARRonaldo ends his legendary career with Portugal... and hangs up its shirt foreverITX Factor 2026, guest Fulminacci and Lenanie eliminated. LIVETRFatma Betül Sayan Kaya was arrestedKRLIV Golf enters history 5 years after its launch... “Business Ended”USJaguars vs. Ravens odds, first touchdown scorer picks, predictions for Thursday Night Football, NFL Week 9KR[Market View] ‘Blue Wave’ hits the stock market... Is KOSPI ‘Black Friday’ again?KREarly winter cold due to the cold northwest wind... The temperature dropped to minus 5 degrees on Saturday morning.BREnem 2026: women and mixed race are the majority among those enrolled in Piauí; see profileKRNasdaq drops 5.5% due to AI regulation fears... Market capitalization of 3,400 trillion won evaporated in one day (comprehensive report 2)CNZeng Baoyi urgently sent a message asking for help! Identity package disappeared after returning to Taiwan by plane. "More than NT$10,000 in cash offered as reward for good Samaritans"
BackCNBC's experts on whether the AI trade is ending and what investors should do next
CNBC's experts on whether the AI trade is ending and what investors should do next
Developing
CNBC World4 hours agoBusiness3 min read

CNBC's experts on whether the AI trade is ending and what investors should do next

Nasdaq falls into correction territory; analysts warn data center buildout may slow under Democratic restrictions

Quick Look

Tech stocks plunged Thursday as investors questioned the AI trade following Democratic midterm election gains, with the Nasdaq dropping 5% into correction territory and the iShares Semiconductor ETF falling 11%, its biggest decline since March 2020.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

A powerful rout in tech stocks occurred Thursday following Democratic success in Tuesday's midterm elections, with investors concerned that Democrats may slow the data center buildout critical to AI infrastructure growth.

Font size

Amid a powerful rout in tech stocks, investors told CNBC on Thursday that something may be fundamentally breaking in the AI trade following the big success of Democrats in Tuesday's midterm elections and the threat they try to slow the data center buildout.

Democrats are more aggressively anti-data center than Republicans, and Wall Street is quickly redoing its math what any restrictions they implement could mean for the related companies' future growth.

"Right now, investors are questioning that $1.2 trillion of capex that we forecast for next year," Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at One Point BFG Wealth Partners, told CNBC. "Well, maybe that's not going to happen."

Boockvar believes this could be the start of the end of the AI trade as we know it.

Whether it's completely over or not, investors need to be reassessing how they're planning to play the AI trade going forward, the analysts said.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 5% on Thursday and fell into correction territory, off by more than 11% from its record high set last month. The iShares Semiconductor ETF dropped 11% on Thursday, its biggest decline since during the Covid breakout in March 2020. The Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ) is down 6% on the day and down 15% over the past month.

"There has been a huge change in the outlook for AI infrastructure buildout," Eric Johnston, head of equities at Cantor Fitzgerald, told CNBC. "The entire economy and the consumer and earnings growth are all levered to that buildout."

The selling Thursday spilled over to non-AI stocks with the Dow Jones Industrial average down more than 1,600 points.

Many investors believe the AI trade isn't over completely, investors just need to get more selective.

"The AI buildout just got harder," said Rob Sechan, Newedge Capital Group Founder & Managing Partner:

"Nobody voted to make compute less scarce," Sechan said, citing Microsoft's Azure cloud business growing 48% year over year in its most recent third quarter. That level of growth suggests its capacity constrained, not demand constrained, he said.

"When new capacity gets harder to build, existing capacity becomes more valuable," Sechan said.

Richard Clode, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson, noted a few bright spots in tech on Thursday despite the highly correlated downward movements in the big tech indices.

"Motorola Solutions had some good results," he said. "We're seeing a little bit of rotation into some of the … internet names...Sony reported some good results, and again they were up strongly overnight."

"So there are some brief pockets of respite from this, but obviously pretty painful across the board today," he said.

Some experts believe the selling was overdone and investors could start nibbling.

This "indiscriminate selling" is a "buying opportunity," said Larry Adam, Raymond James chief investment officer. If investors "take a longer term perspective, which is what we do, I think the valuations at today's levels will tend to prove to be a good buying opportunity," he said, urging investors to look at the fundamentals.

Victoria Greene, chief investment officer of G Squared Private Wealth, said she saw some strong supports around the S&P 500's 200-day moving average and was on the lookout for a market bounce following Thursday's rout.

"Typically, the average return is plus about 180 basis points the next day," she said. "The question we have to ask ourselves: Is this a pullback in an uptrend, which is what I believe? Or is this the end-all, be-all [and] the wheels are coming off and everybody just needs to buy T-bills? I don't think we're there yet."

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Investors will become more selective in the AI trade, focusing on companies with constrained capacity rather than broad AI exposure.

    Likely · Within weeks

  • The market may see a bounce following Thursday's rout, with potential returns around 180 basis points the next day.

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • What specific restrictions on data center buildout might Democrats implement?
  • How will the $1.2 trillion forecast capex for next year be affected?
  • Will the AI trade recover or is this the start of a longer downturn?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by CNBC World.

Related Stories

Elon Musk's Tesla and SpaceX lose over $420 billion in combined market cap after midterms
Developing·

Elon Musk's Tesla and SpaceX lose over $420 billion in combined market cap after midterms

Tesla and SpaceX shares fell about 9% and 11% respectively on Thursday afternoon as investors worried Elon Musk could face new Congressional probes and stricter regulation following U.S. mid-term elections. The selloff brought combined market cap losses for both companies to over $420 billion since Tuesday's close, while Musk's wealth dropped below $800 billion after peaking above $1 trillion following SpaceX's June IPO.

CNBC World
2 min read
More on this topicai trade