Colorado State vs. Texas State prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football Thursday picks by proven model

Teams looking to get back into the win column clash when the Colorado State Rams face the Texas State Bobcats in a Pac-12 Conference matchup on Thursday night. Colorado State is coming off a 56-26 loss to Oregon State, while Texas State dropped a 31-29 decision at San Diego State in Week 6. The Rams (2-3, 0-1 Pac-12), who are tied with Texas State for sixth in the conference, have lost three in a row and are 0-1 on the road. The Bobcats (2-3, 0-1 Pac-12), who have won two of their last three, are 2-1 on their home field in 2026. The teams are meeting for the first time.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. The Bobcats are 14-point favorites, with the over/under at 70.5 in the latest Colorado State vs. Texas State odds. The Over has hit in all five Colorado State games this season, and in four of five Texas State games. Before making any Texas State vs. Colorado State picks, check out the Colorado State vs. Texas State predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

After simulating Colorado State vs. Texas State 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Under 70.5 points at betting apps. The model projects the teams to combine for 63 points. The Under hits in 65% of simulations, giving it all the value.

Sophomore quarterback Hauss Hejny (hamstring) has missed the last couple of games and is questionable to return on Thursday. If he can't go, redshirt freshman K'saan Farrar will get the start. In four games this season, he has completed 61.2% of his passes for 649 yards and three touchdowns with two interceptions. Sophomore quarterback Brad Jackson leads the Texas State offense. In five starts, he has completed 66.7% of his passes for 1,226 yards and 13 touchdowns with five interceptions.

In addition to going Under on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.