
Brent and WTI futures decline sharply following comments from Secretary of State Marco Rubio regarding potential military action.
AI-generated summary
The oil market had previously priced in the risk of military escalation between the U.S. and Iran following the upcoming midterm elections.
Crude oil prices fell sharply Monday after U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said President Donald Trump prefers not to use military force against Iran and would like to resolve the conflict diplomatically.
Brent crude futures, the international benchmark, fell 6.07% to $106.54 a barrel as of 8:55 a.m. ET. U.S. West Texas Intermediate declined 6.2% to $97.65 per barrel.
Trump has previously said that he will not attack Iran before the U.S. midterms. But the oil market had priced in the risk of a major military escalation after the elections.
The president "hasn't made a decision," Rubio told reporters over the weekend.
"What the president expresses to you is incredible confidence that if we needed to do something militarily, we would have the ability to do it, and we really we have everything we need to be successful," the secretary of state said. "But we would prefer to do it peacefully."
Iranian authorities also signaled that a deal is still possible, following two days of talks mediated by Qatar, as long as demands are implemented tangibly, according to Al Jazeera.
The news come following reports that both the U.S. and Iran are preparing for more military strikes after the midterm elections.
Reports from The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times indicate that the U.S. is preparing for possible renewed military actions after the Nov. 3 midterm elections.
Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on Saturday called for Tehran's armed forces to meet "any level or type of threat" with "an immediate, impactful, and geographically unrestricted response."
Concerns over the Middle East and Ukraine conflicts will likely linger in the near term.
"Attacks on ships and refineries in the Middle East and on civilians in Ukraine continue, doing little to inspire confidence in the prospects for lasting ceasefires in the foreseeable future," said Tamas Varga, analyst at PVM Oil Associates.
"Nonetheless, hope springs eternal," Varga added.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Continued diplomatic talks between U.S. and Iran
Likely · Within weeks

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