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Back川普密切關注巴西選舉，波索納洛之子成魯拉連任挑戰
川普密切關注巴西選舉，波索納洛之子成魯拉連任挑戰
BREAKING
自由时报1 hour agoPolitics2 min readChinaView translation

川普密切關注巴西選舉，波索納洛之子成魯拉連任挑戰

巴西大選川普魯拉

Quick Look

巴西即將舉行總統大選，現任總統魯拉面臨參議員佛拉維歐的強力挑戰。美國前總統川普表示密切關注選情，並曾因前總統波索納洛的司法處境對巴西政府表達不滿，揚言施加關稅。此選舉結果可能影響巴西與美中兩國的地緣政治與資源競爭關係。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

波索納洛在2022年大選敗給魯拉後，因謀劃政變被判刑。巴西擁有全球第二大稀土礦藏量，成為美中競爭焦點。

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巴西將於4日舉行總統大選。據民調顯示，前總統波索納洛之子、現任參議員佛拉維歐（Flavio Bolsonaro），為現任總統魯拉（Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva）尋求連任的最大挑戰。美國總統川普1日表示，他正密切關注巴西選舉。

波索納洛毫不掩飾對美國總統川普的敬佩，甚至被封上「巴西川普」名號。2022年大選以些微差距敗給魯拉後，被以謀劃政變為由判處27年刑期。波索納洛遭受的待遇引發川普憤慨，2025年對巴西政府施加50%關稅「討公道」。

CNBC報導，前國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）執行董事卡努托（Otaviano Canuto）分析，關鍵礦產與稀土權限既是川普極力爭取，也是美中重大競爭目標之一。巴西對華府的吸引力，部分出自坐擁僅次中國的全球第二大稀土礦藏量。

巴西經濟學家巴蒂斯塔（Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr.）表示，佛拉維歐表明將與川普建立緊密合作，此立場可能對巴中關係產生影響，「若波索納洛勝出，巴西的地緣政治情勢將出現重大變化。」

Open Questions

  • 佛拉維歐是否能成功挑戰魯拉？
  • 川普若當選將如何落實對巴西的關稅威脅？

Related Topics

巴西大選
People川普波索納洛佛拉維歐魯拉
Organizations國際貨幣基金組織
Places巴西中國美國
Topics川普魯拉波索納洛佛拉維歐地緣政治
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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