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Back蘆洲預售案稀缺推高房價,供需失衡成關鍵
蘆洲預售案稀缺推高房價,供需失衡成關鍵
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自由时报4 days agoReal_estate2 min readChinaView translation

蘆洲預售案稀缺推高房價,供需失衡成關鍵

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蘆洲區因開發飽和,預售新案極為稀少,僅有一案『初見・未來』在售,最高單價達91.04萬/坪。專家指出,供給不足是蘆洲房價居高不下的主因,區內實價登錄顯示新屋平均每坪85.42萬,中古屋也維持7字頭水準。雖有成屋案如『金之邸』、『宏利發UNION』公開販售,但位置與公設比不如集賢路段,吸引力仍待觀察。蘆洲房價主要仰賴在地自住需求與緊繃供給撐起,被形容為『獨一無二』的市場現象。

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Why It Matters

蘆洲區因都市發展飽和,新建案供應極為有限,導致預售案稀缺,房價長期居高不下。近年來,該區房市主要仰賴在地自住需求與有限供給維持價格穩定,缺乏大型建設或產業投資帶動。

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蘆洲預售案稀缺,今年至今僅推出一案,位在徐匯中學站生活圈。(資料照)

蘆洲因開發飽和,新建案相對稀少,價格也因而有撐,近期實價登錄揭露,蘆洲預售案「初見・未來」,最高單價來到91.04萬,專家表示,供給不足依舊是墊高蘆洲房價的關鍵因素。

該案基地位在集賢路,規劃15~35坪產品,屬徐匯中學生活圈。根據市調,徐匯中學站生活圈近1年新案每坪成交行情在85.42萬,中古大樓每坪也有7字頭水準,區內有徐匯廣場、特力屋等商家,機能成熟。

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馨傳不動產智庫發言人何世昌表示,今年以來,蘆洲預售新案只有「初見・未來」一案,民眾沒有其他預售案可以選,業者競爭壓力低,不像其他重劃區滿路都是接待中心;再者,集賢路算是蘆洲較好的路段,要價不斐並不意外。

不過,新成屋建案則稍多,近期長興路一帶有「金之邸」、「宏利發UNION」兩個成屋案陸續公開銷售,價格雖然相對低,唯點位遜於集賢路,且後者的公設比過高,且為一般事務所,消費者的接受度如何還有待觀察。

何世昌表示,近1年多以來,蘆洲新建案含預售及成屋案,成交單價從6字頭至9字頭不等,又以8字頭居多。

除了捷運外,蘆洲其實是一個缺乏重大建設與產業投資題材的區域,完全就是靠在地自住需求與緊繃的供給量將房價撐起來。不能說是特殊,簡直是獨一無二的區域。

Open Questions

  • 蘆洲未來是否會有新的都市更新或重劃案釋出供給?
  • 成屋案『金之邸』與『宏利發UNION』的實際成交價與買受人接受度如何?
  • 區內自住需求是否會隨鄰近城市開發而減少?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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