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Back中东紧张局势升级:美伊博弈持续,也门胡塞武装占领红海要地,国际油价突破百美元
中东紧张局势升级:美伊博弈持续,也门胡塞武装占领红海要地,国际油价突破百美元
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中国新闻网8 minutes agoWorld3 min readChina

中东紧张局势升级:美伊博弈持续,也门胡塞武装占领红海要地,国际油价突破百美元

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10日,美国和伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡持续博弈,美军称海上封锁致96艘商船改航向,伊朗宣称击毁美军无人艇。与此同时,也门胡塞武装攻占红海港口城市穆哈和哈尼什群岛。受此影响,国际油价大涨,布伦特原油收于107.63美元,美汽油价格首次突破每加仑6美元。分析警告,若曼德海峡受阻,全球能源供给将进一步受冲击。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美伊关系持续紧张,美国对伊朗实施制裁和海上封锁,伊朗威胁封锁霍尔木兹海峡作为反制。也门胡塞武装此前多次袭击红海航运,曼德海峡是沙特原油绕过霍尔木兹海峡的关键通道。

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10日,美国和伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡的博弈持续。与此同时,也门西部和北部多地的战事也不断升级,胡塞武装当天相继攻占红海港口城市穆哈和红海战略要地哈尼什群岛。

受中东战事升级影响,国际油价10日大涨。分析指出,只要中东军事冲突不止、海峡通航量无法恢复正常,能源市场的地缘溢价就不会消退。

美继续实施对伊制裁和封锁

美财政部宣布对伊朗相关个人和实体实施制裁

当地时间9月10日,美国财政部发布声明称,作为对伊“经济孤立行动”的一部分,该部门下属的外国资产控制办公室将为伊朗在中东地区的代理人网络提供支持的个人和实体列入制裁清单,制裁对象包括黎真主党成员等。

美军称对伊海上封锁已使96艘商船改变航向

当地时间9月10日,美军中央司令部表示,截至当天,美军在对伊朗的海上封锁行动中已要求96艘商船改变航向。

霍尔木兹海峡博弈持续

伊朗称在霍尔木兹海峡击毁一艘美军无人艇

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军10日晚发表声明说,该部队当天在霍尔木兹海峡入口处击毁一艘美军无人艇。

声明说,美军近期向霍尔木兹海峡派遣无人艇,其中一艘艇体编号为“5838”的无人艇在海峡入口处被伊方击毁。

声明说,伊斯兰革命卫队海军同时表示,霍尔木兹海峡目前处于其“控制和情报监视”之下,并警告称,任何“敌对行动”都将遭到打击。

两艘船只在霍尔木兹海峡附近遭袭

英国海上贸易行动办公室10日表示,该机构收到报告,当天有两艘船只在霍尔木兹海峡附近遭袭,一名船长报告称,看到有4枚不明飞行物击中位于阿曼海塞卜以西海域的两艘船只,其中一艘船起火,另一艘船目前状况不明。

英国海上贸易行动办公室当天还发布最新海事安全通报称,中东地区海上安全形势持续紧张。通报将霍尔木兹海峡的威胁等级维持在“严重”级别,将亚丁湾和曼德海峡—红海南部威胁等级列为“较高”。通报提醒过往商船保持高度警惕,并密切关注地区军事活动以及临时航行指令。

伊朗冲突外溢 也门战火复燃

近日,也门胡塞武装与沙特阿拉伯领导的联军及也门政府军在也门境内多条战线交火,并对沙特发动攻击,也门局势出现重大升级。

也门胡塞武装攻占红海港口城市穆哈

10日,也门政府军当地军官称,在经历数小时激烈交火后,也门西南部塔伊兹省战略要地、红海港口城市穆哈被胡塞武装攻占。

穆哈位于也门西南部塔伊兹省,地处红海沿岸,距离曼德海峡约80公里,是靠近曼德海峡的也门主要城市之一,也是也门政府军及其盟友在红海沿岸的重要补给港口。

也门胡塞武装占领红海战略要地哈尼什群岛

也门政府官员10日说,在政府海军部队撤出红海战略要地哈尼什群岛后,也门胡塞武装已在岛上部署兵力。

哈尼什群岛位于曼德海峡以北,靠近国际主要航运通道,具有监控和保障海上交通安全的重要战略价值。

也门胡塞武装称红海航行“不受威胁”

也门胡塞武装发言人10日表示,胡塞武装目前开展的军事行动有特定目标,属于“防御性”行动。一旦对胡塞武装的袭击停止、封锁解除,这些军事行动就会结束。发言人表示,红海和曼德海峡通航和国际贸易仍然“安全、正常”,该组织的行动“不会对国际航运构成威胁”。

曼德海峡连接红海和亚丁湾,是沟通大西洋、地中海和印度洋的“咽喉”,被称为连接欧亚非三大洲的“水上走廊”。在美伊战事爆发前,全球石油运输约有12%通过该海峡。美国和以色列对伊朗动武后,伊朗将封锁霍尔木兹海峡作为反制措施,曼德海峡成为沙特原油出口的替代通道。分析人士担心,一旦胡塞武装封锁曼德海峡,将对全球能源供给造成进一步冲击。

两大基准原油价格双双“破百”

由于中东局势升级加剧市场对能源供应的担忧,国际油价10日大幅上涨。两大基准原油价格均触及5月以来最高水平,并创下近两个月来最大单日涨幅。

截至当天收盘,纽约商品交易所10月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨6.43美元,收于每桶102.48美元,涨幅为6.69%;11月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨6.42美元,收于每桶107.63美元,涨幅为6.34%。

10日,美国汽油价格跟踪企业“汽油伙伴”公司的数据显示,当日,美国全国柴油平均价格有史以来首次突破每加仑6美元。

目前,伊朗通过管控海湾地区航运出入口霍尔木兹海峡影响全球油价,而曼德海峡是海湾地区特别是沙特原油绕过霍尔木兹海峡运往亚洲的首选通道。分析指出,本轮美伊海上互袭与此前冲突明显不同,激烈的船舶互袭已触发霍尔木兹海峡的物理性断航,大量原油被迫滞留波斯湾。而也门战场走向直接牵动曼德海峡航运安全。一旦该海峡受阻,全球能源运输将进一步遭到冲击,中东紧张局势将进一步升级。

监制丨郑弘

制片人丨文凡

编辑丨潘晨

记者丨朱磊 刘骁骞 李健南

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 若胡塞武装封锁曼德海峡,国际油价将进一步上涨,布伦特原油可能突破120美元/桶

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 美伊海上对峙将持续,双方可能增加无人艇和军舰部署,冲突风险升高

    Very likely · Within days

  • 也门胡塞武装将继续扩大在红海沿岸的控制,可能威胁更多港口和航运节点

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 美伊海上冲突是否会进一步升级为直接军事冲突?
  • 胡塞武装是否会封锁曼德海峡,切断沙特原油出口?
  • 国际社会是否会介入调解以避免能源供应危机?
  • 伊朗击毁美军无人艇的证据是否有独立验证?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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