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BackSanae's approval rating rebounds in high market, showing signs of long-term regime
Sanae's approval rating rebounds in high market, showing signs of long-term regime
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自由时报42 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Sanae's approval rating rebounds in high market, showing signs of long-term regime

Quick Look

  • The latest JNN poll showed that Gao City's cabinet support rate reached 62.5%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points from the previous month.
  • It stopped falling and rebounded after experiencing a decline.
  • The article analyzes the reasons behind this, including the stance on the reform of the imperial system and the insistence on consumption tax cuts, and points out that this rebound shows signs of a long-term political power and is of great significance to Taiwan-Japan relations and the regional pattern.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Takaichi Sanae's cabinet approval rating once fell, mainly because of her insistence on opposing Princess Aiko's succession on the issue of royal system reform, and her promotion of consumption tax cuts, which met opposition within the party. However, the latest poll shows that the support rate has rebounded to 62.5%, indicating that his policies are beginning to gain national understanding and support.

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◎ Akio Yaita

Sanae's approval rating has begun to rebound. This is a very important political signal.

The latest JNN poll shows that Gao City’s cabinet support rate reached 62.5%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points from last month. The previous Nikkei News poll also rebounded from 58% to 62%. In other words, after a period of decline, the popularity of the high market regime has stopped falling and rebounded.

Please read on...

After a period of decline in the government's cabinet approval rating, popularity has stopped falling and rebounded. (Taken from the post)

This is not easy. Japan has had many prime ministers in the past who had high approval ratings when they first came to power, but once the honeymoon period was over, their ratings plummeted, and it was difficult to get back up after falling. However, the high market began to rebound when the support rate was still at a high level of about 60%. This gives me a hint of a long-term regime. The same was true for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe back then. His approval ratings fluctuated, but he was always able to regain his footing after political turmoil.

The support rate fell in the previous wave of high market, and the reform of the royal system was an important factor. Many people in Japan like Princess Aiko, but if Aiko becomes the emperor, Prince Hisahito's established succession to the throne must be re-dealt with, affecting the entire royal system. Gao Shi chose to bear the immediate political price, which can be said to be "long-term pain is worse than short-term pain." As time passed, the people gradually began to understand her difficulties.

Princess Aiko has a high reputation among Japanese people. (Dazhi Image)

Another reason is the consumption tax cut. Gao Shi did not hesitate to collide head-on with opposition forces within the party and insisted on promoting tax cuts. This courage to take political risks and fulfill promises has also been recognized by many citizens.

The real strength of a politician is not whether his support rate will drop, but whether he can climb back up after falling. The high market climbed back this time, and started to rebound at a high level. Those Japanese left-wing media who have been looking forward to the early collapse of the Gaoshi regime, as well as some pro-communist media and celebrities in Taiwan, may be disappointed.

Of course, China is not happy to see a stable and long-term high-end municipal government. When Xi Jinping saw this set of polls, he probably wasn't in a good mood.

It is against this background that on the afternoon of September 9, the Indo-Pacific Strategic Think Tank will hold the "Taiwan-Japan Diplomacy and Defense Forum" at the Grand Hotel in Taipei. A cross-party group of Japanese parliamentarians will have face-to-face discussions with Taiwan’s diplomatic and defense circles to discuss Taiwan Strait security and Taiwan-Japan cooperation. These congressmen are all politicians who firmly support Taiwan like Prime Minister Gao Shi.

Taiwan-Japan relations are entering a new stage. Everyone is welcome to care about the future of Taiwan and Japan.

On the afternoon of September 9, the Indo-Pacific Strategic Think Tank held the "Taiwan-Japan Diplomacy and Defense Forum" at the Grand Hotel in Taipei. (Taken from Akio Yaita’s Facebook page, synthesized by this newspaper)

#yaitaAkio

(The author is a Japanese journalist and writer in Taiwan)

This article is reprinted with permission from Akio Yaita’s Facebook page

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • The high-end cabinet will maintain or further improve approval ratings in the coming months, unless there are major policy mistakes or external shocks.

    Likely · Within months

  • The Taiwan-Japan Diplomacy and Defense Forum will promote specific consensus, especially in maritime security, disaster relief and semiconductor supply chain cooperation.

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • Can Gaoshi further improve its support rate in the future to consolidate the foundation of the regime?
  • Can her tax cuts be achieved without affecting fiscal soundness?
  • How will the specific results of the Taiwan-Japan Forum affect future Taiwan-Japan security cooperation?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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