Datafolha releases new 2nd round poll for president this Thursday (22); live comments results
Quick Look
- The Datafolha institute publishes this Thursday (22) a new voting intention survey for the second round between Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL).
- The survey interviewed 2,520 voters and is registered with the Electoral Court.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The previous survey, released on October 15, showed a technical tie between the candidates.
Datafolha releases this Thursday (22) a new survey on voting intentions in the second round of the presidential election, between Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), starting at 7pm.
A survey released on the 15th showed that the PL candidate had 51% of the valid votes in the second round, compared to 49% for the PT candidate, thus configuring a technical tie within the margin of error.
The results will be discussed in a live broadcast with the director of Datafolha, Luciana Chong, the director of Folha's Brasília branch, Bruno Boghossian, and columnists Mônica Bergamo and Fábio Zanini in this same link.
The collection period for the new survey is from October 20th to 22nd, with 2,520 respondents and a margin of error of two percentage points. The survey is registered with the Electoral Court under code BR-09709/2026.
Electoral survey data should not be understood as predictions for the final outcome of the elections. They serve as a thermometer for voter opinion at the time the mapping is done.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Announcement of survey results at 7pm.
Very likely · Within hours
Open Questions
- What will be the exact numbers from the new survey?




