
AI-generated summary
The Datafolha survey was released this Thursday (8) and shows the evolution of voting intentions between the first and second rounds of the 2022 presidential elections in Brazil, with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) as the main candidates.
The Datafolha result released this Thursday (8) was well received by both campaigns. Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) celebrated having won more votes than President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in the turn from the first to the second round.
President Lula's team says that the numbers show a tie and that, therefore, the election is undefined.
In terms of valid votes, Datafolha showed that Flávio Bolsonaro has 52% of the votes, while Lula has 48%. In relation to the result of valid votes in the first round, the PL candidate grew five points, going from 47% to 52%.
"We won more points than Lula, the support was successful and we are going to grow even more, our rejection is lower than his", said an advisor to Flávio Bolsonaro.
President Lula, in terms of valid votes, rose three points. It went from 45% to 48%.
"We thought that the support of the other candidates obtained by Flávio Bolsonaro would have a greater impact, but it didn't. There is a technical tie. In other words, the election is undefined, the election is not defined", assessed a Lula assistant.
In total votes, the Datafolha result showed a score of 49% to 45%, a tie at the limit of the margin of error.
The scenario is similar to that of Aécio Neves and Dilma Rousseff in 2014 in the institute's first survey on Datafolha. At that time, Aécio had 46% and Dilma, 44%. In valid votes, the score was 51% to 49%.
The negative data for Lula is that his rejection is greater than that of Bolsonaro: 46% reject Lula and 43% reject Flávio Bolsonaro.
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula (PT), who are competing in the second presidential round on October 25th — Photo: Vittor Sales and Ricardo Stuckert
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The 2022 presidential election will have a second round defined on October 25th between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula.
Very likely · Within weeks

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In his campaign agenda this Thursday (8), President Lula defended the maintenance of the policy of increasing the minimum wage and highlighted the need for investments in infrastructure to boost economic growth, meeting with allies such as Rafael Fonteles, Sidônio Palmeira, Dario Durigan and Hugo Motta at Palácio da Alvorada.
Video published by Lucas Pavanato shows an exchange of insults between him and Guilherme Boulos at Brasília Airport, with provocations about the second round of the presidential elections between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula. The images were recorded in the boarding area, close to restaurants and passenger queues. Boulos had not yet commented on the incident on his social media until the report was published.
Flávio Bolsonaro defends the proposal to increase his own mandate to up to five years through a PEC, while Lula states that he does not want to commit to the end of the 6x1 work schedule. In a live broadcast, Flávio showed videos produced with deepfake of his face. In the US, the Secretary of Defense announced that there will be the first public execution in 90 years. Rio de Janeiro's TRE scheduled the retotalization of votes for Saturday that could declare Ruas as governor-elect. Zanin rejected Paes' appeal against the TSE's decision on Garotinho's votes. Government supporters claim to have the votes to end the 6x1 scale, while the opposition tries to postpone the vote.
Federal public servants and their families now have security personnel to guarantee physical integrity and psychological support following threats to the electronic voting system, which are considered crimes covered by the Penal Code and special criminal legislation.
Flávio Bolsonaro defends increasing his own mandate to up to five years via the PEC, while Lula states that he does not want to commit to the end of the 6x1 scale. US plans first public execution in 90 years. TRE-RJ schedules the retotaling of votes for Saturday, which could declare Cláudio Castro elected governor. Zanin rejects Paes' appeal against the TSE's decision on Garotinho's votes. Government officials say they have the votes to end the 6x1; opposition tries to postpone vote. Moraes determines the beginning of Eduardo Bolsonaro's sentence and orders the cancellation of his passports.