On Monday, when the election campaign is over, the next question awaits: what will the government look like for the next four years? DN/Ipsos has asked the voters how they see the matter.
- Even in the view of government formation, there is a tailwind for the Tidö parties at the end of the election campaign, says Nicklas Källebring, opinion analyst at Ipsos.
All the opposition parties have singled out Magdalena Andersson (S) as their prime ministerial candidate, but she has not given any information about who will form part of such a government. Her own voters point out two clear favourites: the Center and the Green Party. Half of the S voters want to join them, around two-thirds can accept their participation.
Social Democrats are considerably more negative about giving Nooshi Dadgostar a ministerial post. Only one in three has the Left Party on their wish list. Just as many are negative, according to DN/Ipsos.
- There has been a clear loss for the Left Party, which is now the least desired party of all to have in a government. Magdalena Andersson's clear signals during the election campaign that the Left Party is not welcome may have had an impact, says Nicklas Källebring.
Against this stands the Left Party's ultimate statement that it does not intend to support a government if it is not part of it.
C leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist has repeatedly drawn a red line during the election campaign against allowing V to take over the government. She has massive support for that among her own sympathizers. Only a few percent of C voters state that they can accept V ministers.
MP's sympathizers are more benevolent: around two out of three are involved in running the country together with V.
Among the Tidö parties, it is already more or less clear that all four will be included if Ulf Kristersson (M) is allowed to form a new government. In that case, the Sweden Democrats will get ministerial positions for the first time.
For this, there is quite a lot of acceptance among voters of other right-wing parties, especially among moderates. But the Liberal road corps is still deeply divided.
The issue of collaboration with SD has been traumatic for the party. It wasn't until April that L made a complete turnaround and opened up for government cooperation with SD. After it was sealed with the hug that Simona Mohamsson gave Jimmie Åkesson, a number of L-tops left their posts in protest.
And the wounds remain. There is still roughly an even weight between the L voters who view SD ministers positively and those who are negative.
How many cabinet posts Jimmie Åkesson will be allowed to hand out to his own will be one of the tough negotiation questions for Ulf Kristersson to resolve. It is clear that the opinion of the electorate has changed drastically since the time when SD was an outcast pariah party. Nowadays, there are significantly more people who see SD as capable of government than who have the same confidence in V.
During the election campaign, public opinion has swung in favor of the Tidö parties, and this is also visible in the question of prime minister. Magdalena Andersson is still the favorite of most voters, but in the last year she has clearly lost ground, while Ulf Kristersson's popularity has grown.
The tailwind for the right-wing bloc can also be seen in the fact that the proportion of the entire electorate who want to see L in the next government has grown sharply during the year. The same applies to KD.
- There are clear changes in Tidö parties' favour, says Nicklas Källebring.
According to DN/Ipso's last voter barometer before the election, which was published on Friday, the Tidöblock and the opposition parties are equally weighted. A shiver awaits on election night.
