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BackAlleging that the Blue Camp seriously misjudged ocean currents, Huang Weihan revealed Chiang Wanan’s biggest problem: Can he win back the middle voters?
Alleging that the Blue Camp seriously misjudged ocean currents, Huang Weihan revealed Chiang Wanan’s biggest problem: Can he win back the middle voters?
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Alleging that the Blue Camp seriously misjudged ocean currents, Huang Weihan revealed Chiang Wanan’s biggest problem: Can he win back the middle voters?

Quick Look

  • Senior media person Huang Weihan pointed out that the Democratic Progressive Party's Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang fell behind by 28% to only 8%, proving that the blue camp seriously miscalculated the rising trend of his support.
  • He criticized the current mayor Jiang Wanan for cherishing words like gold, not appearing on programs, unwilling to break the circle, only consolidating dark blue voters, unable to respond to municipal issues or win back the middle voters, and questioned whether the blue camp is really unaware of the changes in polls due to Shen Boyang's rise.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Taipei mayoral election is underway. Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang was initially 28% behind KMT candidate Chiang Wanan in the polls. However, recent polls show that his support has increased significantly and is currently only 8% behind.

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Shen Boyang, the Taipei mayoral candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, continues to break through the different thermospheres and set off a wave of ocean currents. Huang Weihan, a senior media person, bluntly said that "the blue camp seriously misjudged the ocean currents." He said that Shen Boyang was "extremely ridiculed" and "contemptuously looked down upon" by the blue camp at the beginning, but he has been catching up from lagging behind by 28%. With 8% left, he also bluntly said that the mayor can ignore the challengers, but municipal issues must not be ignored. He questioned Jiang Wanan's inability to properly respond to municipal issues. He also spared no words, did not appear on the show, and was unwilling to break the circle. This made him wonder, "In addition to consolidating the deep blue, can it win back the middle voters?"

Huang Weihan posted a post on Facebook with the title "Why did Blue Camp misjudge the ocean currents?" He pointed out that before 11/28, victory or defeat is still difficult to decide. But no matter what the final result is, a challenger who has been "extremely ridiculed" and "scorned" by the blue camp from the beginning can actually catch up from 28% behind to 8%, which has proved that "the blue camp seriously misjudged the ocean current."

Please read on...

Huang Weihan said that in addition to Shen Boyang's knowledge, hard work, and charm, half of the reason was due to Lanying's own mistakes. If the Blue Camp has commissioned polls (especially TVBS) in the past five months, then the rise of Shen Boyang and Jiang Wanan being brought closer to "this matter" are not known to the outside world, nor are they known to the Blue Camp themselves?

Huang Weihan said bluntly that he knew clearly that his opponent was chasing after him, but he continued to pretend that nothing was wrong, saying that he had won a lot and that Dallion was not accurate. As a result, the T-stage difference was 8%. As soon as the polls were announced, the pigs and sheep changed colors, causing the blue camp voters to choose the general, and people were panicked.

Huang Weihan analyzed that as the current mayor, ignoring the challenger is also a strategy. However, challengers can be ignored, but municipal issues cannot be ignored. The mayor should be on the front line to respond and show responsibility and municipal responsibility for any big or small problems such as cutting down the wrong tree, schoolchildren having diarrhea, sugar cane not being taken away, or elderly people being defrauded of money. However, Mayor Jiang cherishes his words like gold and refuses to appear on the show. He does not want to break the circle and targets "drug distribution in the community" to fight to the end.

Huang Weihan emphasized that even if "dark blue voters" can really accept this statement, will the middle voters who can verify and think believe it? Chiang was caught up because of the loss of middle voters, not because Deep Blue was loosening up. In addition to consolidating Deep Blue, can this move bring back middle voters?

Huang Weihan sighed at the end of the article. He misjudged yesterday and continues to misjudge today. What will happen tomorrow? The answer will come soon.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • If Jiang Wanan does not improve his municipal response and ability to break the circle, Shen Boyang has a chance to reverse the lead before the election.

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • Did Blue Camp really entrust polling agencies such as TVBS to conduct internal measurements?
  • If internal polls in the Blue Camp show Shen Boyang’s rise, why haven’t they adjusted their campaign strategy?
  • Does Jiang Wanan have a specific municipal response plan to deal with the loss of median voters?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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