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BackTaoyuan's latest poll" Huang Shijie is approaching, financial network US is confident of coming back to win
Taoyuan's latest poll" Huang Shijie is approaching, financial network US is confident of coming back to win
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自由时报17 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Taoyuan's latest poll" Huang Shijie is approaching, financial network US is confident of coming back to win

The People's Association and Darien Announced the latest poll, showing a slight lead in favor of changing parties on the issue of party rotation.

Quick Look

  • The People's Association and polling expert Dai Li'an released the latest poll on the Taoyuan mayoral election.
  • The Kuomintang candidate Zhang Shanzheng's support was 36.9%, and the DPP candidate Huang Shijie's support was 32.8%.
  • The gap between the two sides was only 4.1 percentage points.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Taoyuan mayoral election is part of the nine-in-one election. The current mayor Zhang Shanzheng is seeking re-election, and the Democratic Progressive Party has nominated Huang Shijie to run. The Trustees Association entrusted Dai Li'an to be responsible for the design and analysis of the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted the telephone interview. The survey targets were people registered in Taoyuan City and over the age of 20. From November 4 to November 6, 1,074 people were successfully interviewed. The maximum sampling error of the combined sample at a reliability level of 95% was ±3.0%.

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2026/11/10 11:04

DPP Taoyuan mayoral candidate Huang Shijie was recently interviewed by Xie Jinhe, host of the Times' "Digital Taiwan" program. (Provided by Huang Shijie Bidding)

[Reporter Lin Nangu/Reporting from Taipei] The countdown to the nine-in-one election campaign is over, and the "ocean current" is spilling over to affect the Taoyuan election! The People's Association and polling expert Dai Li'an released the latest poll on the Taoyuan mayoral election today (10th). The KMT Taoyuan mayor candidate Zhang Shanzheng's support for re-election was 36.9%, slightly ahead of the DPP candidate Huang Shijie's 32.8%. The gap between the two sides was only 4.1 percentage points.

TV celebrity and former Taoyuan City Councilor Wang Haoyu posted on Facebook earlier that Zhang Shanzheng has high satisfaction and Huang Shijie has low popularity. Although the gap between the two sides seems to be narrowing, it is just a little bit short. "The voting willingness of the green camp is already very high, while the blue camp's is low. Once it is raised, the two sides will be further apart. There is no breakthrough point yet."

In response to Wang Haoyu's statement, Hu Caiping, the beauty of the financial website, immediately left a message below to express her disagreement with her opinion. She said: "Last week, the polls of the Times were behind by 7%. This week, the Xinmin people were only behind by 4%. It will reverse. Don't worry, I am behind by 26%. According to every poll, Taoyuan will win and Huang Shijie will win."

According to the poll results, if people vote now, Zhang Shanzheng's support is 36.9% and Huang Shijie's support is 32.8%. Zhang Shanzheng's lead has been approached by Huang Shijie. Among the people who said they will definitely vote, 42.7% will vote for Huang Shijie and 41.4% will vote for Zhang Shanzheng. Among people who are likely to vote, 36.7% will vote for Zhang Shanzheng and 23.4% will vote for Huang Shijie.

The poll shows that whether there should be a rotation of political parties in this Taoyuan mayoral election, 33.8% believe that the Democratic Progressive Party will be replaced, and 31.0% believe that the KMT will continue to be mayor. There is a slight lead in supporting changing parties.

This poll was entrusted by the Trustees Association to Mr. Dai Li'an to be responsible for questionnaire design and analysis, and Beacon Market Research Company to conduct telephone interviews. The survey targets people registered in Taoyuan City and over the age of 20. It was conducted from November 4 to November 6. 1,074 people were successfully interviewed (751 people on residential phones and 323 on mobile phones). The maximum sampling error of the combined sample at a reliability level of 95% is ±3.0%.

Open Questions

  • What will be the final outcome of the election?
  • Can Huang Shijie catch up with Zhang Shanzheng in the remaining time?
  • Are the results of other unannounced polling agencies consistent?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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