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BackTrump said Iran was "eager to negotiate," but Iran and Oman finalized a consensus on the Strait route, causing tensions over oil prices and drones
Trump said Iran was "eager to negotiate," but Iran and Oman finalized a consensus on the Strait route, causing tensions over oil prices and drones
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中国新闻网43 minutes agoWorld3 min readChinaView original

Trump said Iran was "eager to negotiate," but Iran and Oman finalized a consensus on the Strait route, causing tensions over oil prices and drones

Quick Look

  • Trump said on social media that Iran is eager to negotiate, but the spokesperson of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs revealed that Iran and Oman have reached a final consensus on the Strait of Hormuz route.
  • At the same time, Saudi Arabia requested to postpone the regional meeting.
  • The conflict in Yemen caused the Red Sea route to be blocked and pushed the oil price to exceed 108 US dollars per barrel.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Strait of Hormuz is an important global oil transportation channel, and Iran and Oman have dominant rights in the strait. Tensions have persisted in the Middle East in recent years, with Iran's confrontational relationship with the United States, Yemen's Houthi rebels attacking Red Sea shipping, and a Saudi-led coalition carrying out retaliatory air strikes.

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On September 14, Trump posted on social media, mocking Iran as "a country in trouble."

He even emphasized twice in a row that Iran was "eager to reach an agreement."

So the question is, is Iran really as anxious to negotiate as he said?

Iran quietly finalized a consensus on the Strait route with Oman. Shortly before Trump issued the statement, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Bagaei just released two pieces of news at a regular press conference in Tehran:

One is: a regional conference originally scheduled to be held in Oman was postponed at the request of Saudi Arabia;

Another is: Iran and Oman have reached a final consensus on sea routes.

You know, the core channel of the Strait of Hormuz happens to be sandwiched between the territorial waters of Oman and Iran. As long as the two rightful owners reach a consensus, in terms of law and practice, it is equivalent to holding the "steering wheel" of the Strait in their own hands.

Bagaei also revealed the next steps: "We will consult with Oman to decide the next step and how to announce or register this consensus. Relevant information will also be announced in a timely manner."

In other words, there is no problem with the consensus. Now the two sides need to discuss how to speak to the outside world, when to speak, and in what form.

As soon as Saudi Arabia opened its mouth, a good meeting in the Gulf region became "dirty"

As Bagaei said, there was originally a regional meeting to discuss the issue of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz with the Gulf countries.

However, the meeting went dark on the 14th.

Bagaei introduced at the press conference that the purpose of this meeting is to prepare Iran and Oman to inform the Gulf countries of the results of their consultations on the navigation issue in the Strait of Hormuz at this meeting.

The result? Before the meeting even started, Saudi Arabia asked for it to be postponed.

Note Bagaei's wording - he made it very clear: the delay was at the request of Saudi Arabia.

As for why Saudi Arabia asked for a postponement? Bagaei gave Iran's judgment: Some people blame the postponement of the meeting on the developments between Saudi Arabia and Yemen, but in Iran's view, this is tantamount to "finding the wrong target."

He even bluntly accused Saudi Arabia of "an attempt to divert attention from the root causes of this crisis."

Bagaei also warned that the ongoing wars between regional Muslim countries will ultimately only benefit Israel, as Israel has been trying to increase tensions and insecurities in regional countries.

Oil prices and drones have both exploded

Almost at the same time, Saudi Arabia launched intensive air strikes in the past few days in retaliation for the Houthis. The war in Yemen also blocked the Red Sea route, and several major shipping giants in the world have changed their routes.

The chain reaction is that the international Brent crude oil price has skyrocketed, directly breaking through the $108 per barrel mark.

The military confrontation in the Persian Gulf also erupted again.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced in a high-profile manner on the 14th that its air defense forces used the latest defense system to successfully intercept and shoot down a US military MQ-1 "Predator" advanced drone over the Strait of Hormuz.

Since the conflict broke out in February this year, the US military has damaged nearly 60 drones over the Persian Gulf.

Trump criticized Iran for being "eager to reach a deal," but Iran said that it had just reached a consensus on the shipping route with Oman and that it was holding the "steering wheel" of the Strait of Hormuz.

In the game of chess in the Middle East, some people flip the table and others make moves, but what really changes the situation are often things that are quietly negotiated.

Author: Wang Xi

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Iran will use the consensus on the Strait of Hormuz route to gain greater leverage in future negotiations

    Likely · Within weeks

  • The obstruction of the Red Sea route will continue in the short term, and oil prices may continue to rise.

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • How will Iran and Oman formally announce or register a consensus on the Straits route?
  • What is Saudi Arabia’s real motive for postponing the regional meeting?
  • After a US military drone is shot down, will the United States take retaliatory actions?
  • When will the Red Sea routes return to normal?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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