European security authorities warn of possible escalation by Russia

European security authorities warn of a possible escalation by Russia. “The Guardian” reports on this. The head of the Czech intelligence service BIS, Michal Koudelka, told the British newspaper that action against NATO could take place “in months, not years.” He cited a limited military advance, false flag provocations or a large-scale influence campaign as possible scenarios.

Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk had previously warned of possible drone or missile attacks on NATO territory. Russia may want to test whether the alliance's mutual assistance obligation under Article 5 actually applies. French President Emmanuel Macron described the underlying intelligence information as “sound and well-documented.”

Representatives of the Baltic states were more reserved. Latvian security chief Normunds Mežviets told the Guardian that there was currently no evidence of an imminent attack. Although Moscow is preparing to take more decisive action in Europe, it is unclear whether concrete attack plans exist or whether Russia primarily wants to stir up fear and uncertainty in the West.