Soccer World Cup: Japan ranks 3rd in Group F and has an 83.6% chance of advancing to the finals against France and Norway.

Japan, who are in Group F of the first round (group stage) of the Soccer World Cup, got their first victory against Tunisia in the tournament, increased their points to four, and advanced to the final tournament (T). If they score a draw or better in the third match against Sweden on the 25th (26th Japan time), they will advance to the final T as one of the top two teams in Group F, but even if they lose and end up in third place, there is still a possibility that they will advance to the final T. If that happens, who will they be competing against? The percentage of them meeting with the top teams in Group I, which includes France and Norway, is as high as 83.6%. Of the 12 groups, the eight teams with the highest scores will advance to third place. There are 495 patterns. Which group each team will be ranked first in is decided in advance by the International Federation of Football Associations (FIFA). Japan's 3rd place in F has a high probability of matching 1st place in I. There are 330 ways for Japan's Group F to be among the 8 teams that advance to the final T. Of these, there are 276 patterns that match the 1st place in Group I, which is the highest percentage. The next highest number of matches with Germany, which has secured the first place in Group E, is 35, at 10.6%. The United States, ranked first in Group D, has a share of 3.3%, Group B, which includes Canada, has a share of 1.5%, and Mexico, ranked first in Group A, has a share of 0.9%. You will not be able to win first place from another group. How to determine the 3rd place team that will advance to the final T The results of the 3rd place teams will be compared in the following order. ① Winning points in the 1st league (group stage) ② Goal difference in the 1st league ③ Total points in the 1st league ④ Fair play points ⑤ World ranking