Shen Boyang. (Photo by reporter Cong Changjin)
The 2026 nine-in-one election has entered the countdown stage, and the race for Taipei mayor continues to heat up. Huang Chuangxia, a veteran media person, said that recent public polls show that the Democratic Progressive Party's Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang's support is rising steadily, even surpassing the current Taipei mayor Chiang Wanan, and more than 10% of voters who had voted for Chiang Wanan have defected. Shen's voice is almost always suppressed whether he is talking on the soap box, rallying, driving "Snake" or being interviewed by the media. However, Shen Boyang's "favourability" still lags behind Jiang Wanan. Even according to data from polling expert Dai Li'an, even though Shen Boyang is ahead by a large margin, his favorability still lags behind Jiang Wanan by 2 percentage points, showing an obvious contradiction between momentum, confidence and support.
Huang Chuangxia published an article today and pointed out that "beware of fear" is easy to catchy, but it really becomes the rule of words and deeds, which is the test of literacy! Taiwan's manufacturing is world-famous, and although it is also one of the top yacht manufacturing countries in the world, for the vast majority of people, yachts are still high-priced luxury products, and they are not comparable to motorcycles, which are ordinary people's means of transportation, in terms of functionality and price. He reminded, "Is it really appropriate to charter a yacht to show off the ocean traffic? It is more appropriate to be cautious and fearful."
The outside world has questioned whether the support level has broken through the circle but is difficult to translate into optimism. Is it "because of worries about the Kuomintang's centipede and the strength of the local grassroots organizations that will not die?" Maybe, but don't forget that it was Zhu Li who was in charge of the recall last year at the Party Central Committee. In Taipei City, Huang Lu Jinru has been running the flag for a long time. This year, the Kuomintang Party Central Committee has Cheng Li-wen, who even "warmed up" many KMT candidates to avoid. In Taipei City, Taipei City has a novice Dai Xiqin. It is a world of difference.
Huang Chuangxia bluntly said that Chiang Wanan’s city government team and campaign team still often drop screws all over the floor. Do most Taipei citizens really still believe in the strength of the KMT’s grassroots? Looking at the KMT's operations after the sense of crisis, it is obvious that it is superimposing the uncertainty about Shen Boyang if he is really elected to intensify the sense of distrust.
Huang Chuangxia analyzed that at the beginning of the debate, Jiang Wanan shouted that Shen Boyang had "read the wrong answer" and picked out municipal details to create the impression that Shen Boyang lacked practical ability and administrative experience. Such attacks may not be effective in the first few months, but when the countdown to the vote comes, "What will happen if Shen Boyang is the mayor after tomorrow?" This is an important variable that can influence the considerations of the median voters. "As a result, renting a yacht turns into celebrating the carnival in advance. Is it appropriate? You really need to be careful and fearful."
Huang Chuangxia's analysis, coupled with the Chiang camp's "Nine Questions about Shen Boyang" tactic, is basically not only a continuation of the KMT's previous strategy of "removing Shen Boyang", but also worries about the traditional pan-blue supporters of the pan-blue who have not ruled out letting "a different Shen Boyang try": after the election, will the DPP and Shen Boyang still be warm and warm? Huang Chuangxia finally shouted to the "little water droplets" who supported Shen Boyang: "Beware of fear cannot just be used as a catchy slogan, it penetrates into the bone marrow and becomes DNA, it is more important."
The poll was commissioned by the Xinmin Cross-Strait Research Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted the telephone interview. The survey period was from October 14 to 16. The survey targets were people registered in Taipei City and over the age of 20. 1,075 people were successfully interviewed (753 people on residential phones and 322 on mobile phones). At the 95% confidence level, the maximum sampling error was plus or minus 3.0%.
For related news, please see:
Beichang City Poll》Shen Boyang 50.3%, Jiang Wanan 33.3%, reversed the lead
Strong support and debate performance. Shen: Be wary of fear.
