The Central Statistical Office has revised the estimate of Poland's GDP growth. Quick reaction of the Minister of Finance

The Central Statistical Office revised the estimate of GDP growth in the second quarter of this year. up to 4.1 percent from 3.9 percent y/y and in the first quarter to 3.7 percent from 3.5 percent rdr.

"Compared to the previous estimate, the year-on-year dynamics of real GDP increased by 0.2 percentage points in the first and second quarters of 2026. The revision was influenced by, among others, changes in public consumption and gross fixed capital formation," the Central Statistical Office reported.

The Office noted that as a result of the revision of the annual data for 2025, the quarterly dynamics of real GDP were verified. The differences between the estimates amounted to +0.2 percentage points.

The Minister of Finance reacts

"Over 4 percent growth! The Polish economy is growing even faster," wrote Andrzej Domański on Friday.

"The Central Statistical Office increased its GDP estimates. In the second quarter of 2026, our economy grew by 4.1% y/y, and the better result is driven by stronger investment results. Despite the global turmoil, we are shifting into a higher gear," added the Minister of Finance.

IMF on Poland's GDP forecast

On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund maintained the forecast for Poland's GDP growth at 3.4% for 2026, and increased it by 0.1 percentage points for 2027. up to 2.5 percent - according to the latest version of the IMF's cyclical World Economic Outlook report.

The IMF forecasts average annual inflation in Poland in 2026 at 3.2% and in 2027 at 2.8%.

According to the IMF, Poland's current account balance will be -1.9%. GDP in 2026 and -1.5 percent GDP in 2027. The report does not provide justification for the forecasts.