Last poll before the election in Israel: Opposition captured parliamentary majority
Quick Look
- In the poll conducted by Israel's Channel 12, the Yashar Party led by Gadi Eisenkot came first with 23 seats.
- The anti-Netanyahu bloc won 67 seats, 18 seats ahead of the ruling coalition, while the ruling coalition won 49 seats.
- In terms of prime ministerial preferences, Eisenkot is ahead of Netanyahu by 10%.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Netanyahu has been the prime minister of the coalition described as the 'most right-wing government' in Israeli history since December 2022. In order to form a government in Israel, the support of at least 61 members of parliament is required.
According to the poll published on Israel's Channel 12 television, parties in the anti-Netanyahu bloc won 67 of the 120 seats in the parliament (Knesset).
In the distribution of seats in the opposition bloc, 54 were from Zionist parties and 13 were from parties of Israeli Palestinians.
While the number of seats of the ruling coalition led by Prime Minister Netanyahu remained at 49, the formation described as the "third camp" won 4 seats.
The maximum margin of error of the survey, which was conducted on October 12 with a representative sample group of 509 people aged 18 and over, was announced as 4.4 percent.
YASHAR PARTY UNDER THE LEADERSHIP OF EISENKOT IS IN THE FIRST PLACE
In the party-based distribution in the survey, the "Yashar" Party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, came first by winning 23 seats.
The Likud Party, led by Netanyahu, lost 1 seat compared to the previous poll and remained at 20 seats.
While the Together Party, led by former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, maintained its position with 13 seats, the "Democrats" led by Yair Golan and the "Israel Our Home" parties led by Avigdor Lieberman gained nine seats each.
While the "Joint List" led by Yusuf Cebbarin, one of the parties of Palestinian Israeli citizens, won 8 seats, the ultra-orthodox Jewish (Haredi) party "Shas" led by Aryeh Deri and the far-right "Jewish Power" parties led by Itamar Ben-Gvir also reached 8 seats each.
"United Torah Judaism" led by Yakov Asher won 7 seats, while the "Religious Zionism and Identity" alliance led by Bezalel Smotrich and Moshe Feiglin won 6 seats.
The "United Arab List" (Ra'am) led by Mansur Abbas gained 5 seats.
Thus, the total number of parliamentary representations of Palestinian Israeli citizens reached 13.
The "Reserve Soldiers - Economist" list, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha, was the other group that entered the parliament with 4 seats.
EISENKOT MAKES A DIFFERENCE IN THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE
"Who is the most suitable name for the Prime Minister's seat?" In the answers to the question, Gadi Eisenkot had an advantage over Netanyahu with 45 percent to 35 percent.
It was noteworthy that the difference, which was 3 points in the previous survey, increased to 10 points.
Naftali Bennett also gained a 1-point advantage over Netanyahu, with 37 percent to 36 percent.
Although Netanyahu had a 35 percent to 27 percent advantage over Avigdor Lieberman, it was stated that the difference between them decreased to 8 points from 17 points in the previous poll.
In the news of Channel 12, it was noted that the rate of undecided voters was 8 percent.
Netanyahu has been the prime minister of the coalition described as the "most right-wing government" in Israeli history since December 2022.
In order to form a government in Israel, the support of at least 61 members of parliament is required.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Yashar Party will begin coalition talks with other parties
Likely · Within weeks
Netanyahu's ruling coalition will develop new strategies to compensate for loss of seats
Possible · Within weeks
Open Questions
- Will a coalition be formed between Yashar Party and other parties?
- How will Netanyahu's ruling coalition change strategy with these results?
- If a new election takes place, will the results change?




