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BackKalshi Backs New Lobbying Group for Prediction Markets
Kalshi Backs New Lobbying Group for Prediction Markets
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Cointelegraph5/25/2026Politics2 min read

Kalshi Backs New Lobbying Group for Prediction Markets

Quick Look

  • Kalshi has launched Americans for Fair Markets, a new lobbying group for prediction markets, appointing Taylor Budowich as advisor.
  • The group aims to counter opposition from sportsbooks and casinos and shape federal policy, while facing increased scrutiny and a US House probe into Kalshi and Polymarket.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has launched a new lobbying group called Americans for Fair Markets to advocate for federal policy changes. This move comes amid increasing scrutiny of prediction markets in the US and abroad, with a US House probe into Kalshi and its rival Polymarket.

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Kalshi has backed a new lobbying group for prediction markets called Americans for Fair Markets, which has tapped former deputy White House chief of staff Taylor Budowich as its strategic advisor.

Kalshi said on Friday that the organization is positioning itself against sportsbooks and casinos, which it claims are “focused on protecting their monopolies and seeding lies about prediction markets to policymakers.”

Americans for Fair Markets, which Kalshi said was launched with its support, would join a broader lobbying push that includes the Coalition for Prediction Markets, an advocacy group for prediction markets launched in December 2025, backed by Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Robinhood.

Kalshi said the organization aims to shape federal policy on prediction markets and would run paid campaigns on what it claimed were “false narratives about prediction markets.”

The launch of the group came on the same day that the US House launched a probe into Kalshi and its main rival, Polymarket, over how the companies were handling insider trading, as prediction markets come under increased scrutiny in the US and abroad.

Budowich’s appointment as an advisor comes as US President Donald Trump has expressed mixed takes on prediction markets. Trump said last month that he was “not happy” with prediction markets over well-timed Iran war bets.

However, Trump, whose son Donald Trump Jr. invested in Polymarket and joined the company’s advisory board and is an adviser to Kalshi, softened his stance days later, saying the US would “get left out in the cold” if it didn’t allow the platforms.

Kalshi said that Americans for Fair Markets will support the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in regulating prediction markets.

The CFTC and state regulators have faced off over competing claims for jurisdiction, with states claiming prediction markets are violating local gambling laws, while the CFTC has claimed sole jurisdiction over the platforms.

Related: Kalshi valuation doubles to $22B after $1B funding round

Americans for Fair Markets said it would also focus on backing federally regulated platforms with consumer protections such as know-your-customer requirements, insider trading bans and restrictions on markets tied to violence or terrorism.

“We’re not going to be outspent or out-organized by entrenched interests protecting their monopolies,” John Bivona, Kalshi’s head of government relations who was appointed as a board member for the new lobby group.

“Millions of Americans have shown they want regulated, open, and fair prediction markets — and we’re going to make sure they have access to them,” he added.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Americans for Fair Markets will actively campaign against sportsbooks and casinos.

    Very likely · Short term

  • The US House probe into Kalshi and Polymarket will lead to further regulatory action or policy changes.

    Likely · Medium term

  • There will be ongoing conflict between state regulators and the CFTC over jurisdiction of prediction markets.

    Very likely · Long term

Open Questions

  • What specific policies will Americans for Fair Markets advocate for?
  • What is the expected timeline for the US House probe into Kalshi and Polymarket?
  • How will state regulators and the CFTC resolve their jurisdictional disputes?
  • What will be the impact of this lobbying effort on the future regulation of prediction markets?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by Cointelegraph.

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