Developing
World·56m agoAI summary
美伊就荷姆茲海峽達成協議，市場預期航運最快8月恢復正常
美國總統川普宣布與伊朗就重啟荷姆茲海峽達成協議，市場預測航運最快8月恢復正常，機率達58%。協議內容包括解除海上封鎖，預計將在週五簽署後開放，並在特定時期內免通行費。
自
自由时报Kalshi
Steady79 stories14 sourcesLast updated: 56m ago
Related Topicsprediction marketsPolymarketCFTCinsider tradingGeorge Santoscryptoperpetual futuresbitcoin
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SpaceX debuted on Nasdaq with a 19% stock increase, surpassing a $2 trillion market valuation. However, its ambitious Mars colonization plans face long timelines, with traders giving an 18% chance of a human mission by 2030.
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Politics·2d agoAI summary
Coalition challenges Kentucky's prediction market tax
A coalition including Kalshi, Crypto.com, and Polymarket has filed a lawsuit challenging Kentucky's new 14.25% excise tax on prediction market operators' transaction fees, arguing it's discriminatory, unconstitutional, and preempted by federal law. The coalition claims the tax is higher than on other industries and pushes users toward illegal platforms.
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ABC News
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Guardian International
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Business·4d agoAI summary
Kalshi Rolls Out New Compliance Measures Amid Insider Trading Concerns
Prediction market operator Kalshi is implementing new compliance measures, including a disclosure rule for high-risk markets and a risk scoring framework, to combat insider trading concerns. These steps aim to identify and prevent manipulation, though some experts question their effectiveness.
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Decrypt
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Business·4d agoAI summary
Kalshi to Require User Employment Info to Combat Insider Trading
Prediction market operator Kalshi will soon require users to disclose their employment information to prevent insider trading. The move aims to identify and screen out potential insiders on markets deemed at high risk for manipulation, such as those related to national security or upcoming IPOs.
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BBC Business
Developing
Business·4d agoAI summary
Kalshi Referred to Regulators by BBB National Programs Over Ad Practices
BBB National Programs' National Advertising Division (NAD) is referring prediction market platform Kalshi to regulatory authorities after the company declined to participate in an inquiry into its social media advertising practices.
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Cointelegraph
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6/5/2026AI summary
George Santos Threatens Journalist Over Investigation Story
Former Congressman George Santos threatened a journalist with a violent remark after a story exposed federal investigations into his trading activities on Kalshi, a prediction market site.
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NPR News
Developing
Politics·6/4/2026AI summary
US Lawmaker Seeks to Ban Congressional Stock Trading on Prediction Markets
US Rep. Bryan Steil plans to amend a congressional stock ban bill to include prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, citing concerns over insider trading on elections and public policy.
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Decrypt
Developing
Tech·6/4/2026AI summary
Kalshi developing 'Bloomberg Terminal' for prediction market traders
Kalshi is reportedly developing a new interface for its highly engaged traders, likened to the 'Bloomberg Terminal' for prediction markets. The platform will offer features like tracking volumes, real-time trades, and customizable interfaces, aiming to serve 'sharps' seeking an edge.
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CNBC
Developing
Business·6/4/2026AI summary
Kalshi bets on Knicks game to showcase hedging for small businesses
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is partnering with a New York City bar, The Jeffery, to demonstrate its hedging strategy for small businesses. The bar placed a $5,000 trade on the Knicks winning their game against the Spurs, aiming to cover customer tabs if they win, or profit from increased business if they lose.
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CNBC
Urgent
Crypto·6/3/2026AI summary
Bitcoin Prices Tumble to Lowest Levels Since Early April Amidst Bearish Sentiment
Bitcoin prices dropped to their lowest point since early April, falling below $66,500. Traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket anticipate further declines, with significant probabilities assigned to prices falling below $60,000 and even $50,000 in 2026 and 2024, respectively.
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CNBC
Urgent
Politics·6/3/2026AI summary
George Santos Investigated for Insider Trading on State of the Union Attendance
Federal authorities are investigating former Congressman George Santos for alleged insider trading related to a bet placed on an online prediction market about his attendance at the State of the Union address.
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Guardian Business
Developing
Crime·6/3/2026AI summary
George Santos é investigado por suposto uso de informação privilegiada em mercado de previsões
O ex-deputado George Santos está sob investigação por suposto uso de informação privilegiada em um mercado de previsões online, a Kalshi. A plataforma o reportou ao Departamento de Justiça e à CFTC após detectar negociações suspeitas antes do discurso de Trump em 24 de fevereiro.
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G1
Developing
Business·6/1/2026AI summary
Kalshi Applies to List Derivatives for 12 Major Altcoins After CFTC Bitcoin Approval
Following the CFTC's approval of Bitcoin perpetual futures, Kalshi has applied to self-certify derivatives for 12 major altcoins, aiming to expand regulated crypto derivatives trading in the U.S. beyond Bitcoin.
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Decrypt
Developing
Politics·6/1/2026AI summary
Plataformas de previsão não são termômetro eleitoral, alertam especialistas
Especialistas alertam que plataformas de previsão, como Polymarket e Kalshi, não são um bom termômetro para a disputa presidencial brasileira, apesar de serem usadas nas redes sociais. O governo brasileiro bloqueou o acesso a esses sites, que operam como derivativos financeiros, mas políticos e influenciadores de direita continuam a divulgar seus dados como contraponto às pesquisas tradicionais. No entanto, o mercado de apostas reflete mais o comportamento de operadores sofisticados e pode ser manipulado, diferentemente das pesquisas eleitorais.
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G1
Developing
Business·6/1/2026AI summary
Kalshi Sees Record Trading Volume as It Courts Institutional Investors
Prediction market platform Kalshi processed a record $17B in contracts in May, driven by institutional adoption. The company is focusing on Wall Street with new partnerships and infrastructure, aiming to offer hedging tools beyond traditional financial markets.
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CNBC
Developing
Tech·6/1/2026AI summary
CFTC Approves Bitcoin Perpetual Contract, Jamie Dimon Slams Coinbase CEO
The CFTC approved KalshiEX's Bitcoin perpetual contract, a major regulatory step for crypto in the US. Meanwhile, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon criticized Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong over the Clarity Act, and the US seized $1B in crypto from Iran.
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Decrypt
Developing
Cryptocurrency·6/1/2026AI summary
Hyperliquid HYPE Rally Hits New Highs Amidst Regulatory and Institutional Attention
Hyperliquid's HYPE token reached a new all-time high of $68.64, driven by ETF inflows, CFTC approval of Bitcoin perpetual futures, and Wall Street recognition. This reframes HYPE as a public market proxy for derivatives infrastructure.
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CryptoSlate
NEWS
5/31/2026AI summary
Wintermute Provides Liquidity to Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi
Wintermute, a major crypto market maker, is providing two-sided liquidity to prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, aiming to tighten spreads and support larger trades, enhancing the reliability of event probability estimates.
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Decrypt
Developing
Politics·5/25/2026AI summary
Kalshi Backs New Lobbying Group for Prediction Markets
Kalshi has launched Americans for Fair Markets, a new lobbying group for prediction markets, appointing Taylor Budowich as advisor. The group aims to counter opposition from sportsbooks and casinos and shape federal policy, while facing increased scrutiny and a US House probe into Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Cointelegraph
Developing
Politics·5/24/2026AI summary
Australian Regulators Monitor US Prediction Markets Offering Bets on Local Elections
US-based prediction market websites like Kalshi and Polymarket are attracting significant bets on Australian elections and political events, raising concerns among Australian regulators and gambling harm advocates about potential manipulation and lack of oversight.
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Guardian AustraliaDeveloping
Politics·5/24/2026AI summary
Australian Regulators Monitor US Prediction Markets Offering Bets on Local Elections
US-based prediction market websites like Kalshi and Polymarket are attracting significant bets on Australian elections and political events, raising concerns among Australian regulators and gambling harm advocates about potential manipulation and lack of oversight.
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Guardian World
Urgent
Crypto·5/24/2026AI summary
Bitcoin : retour vers les 50 000 dollars ?
Le Bitcoin a brièvement chuté sous les 75 000 dollars, ravivant les craintes d'une correction vers les 50 000 dollars. Les sorties massives des ETF Bitcoin et la prudence des investisseurs institutionnels accentuent la pression baissière.
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Journal du Coin