Who will win the US elections? “Turnout favors Democrats.”

Will Trump accept his defeat?

Tomasz Płudowski pointed out that the President of the United States himself admitted that he would accept the defeat of his party. However, the professor drew attention to Trump's behavior in previous situations when the election results were not favorable to him.

Looking at his behavior and previous experiences, it is clear that he tried everything not to recognize the election results. He says jokingly that he won three terms, so he deserves one additional term, commented Płudowski.

The Americanist pointed out that Trump's presidency was so polarizing that the opposition was more motivated to vote.

Democrats will vote in larger numbers, so turnout favors them. Republicans are demotivated because they have already been elected for two terms and are partly disappointed - said the guest of Radio RMF24.

Professor Płudowski added that Republicans and their supporters live in their own information bubble.

When you watch interviews with supporters who are less interested in politics and who are fanatics of the Republican Party, especially Trump, it's like love. As if they were members of a sect, a cult. For them, facts don't matter much. They don't know him, they just adore him and believe blindly - emphasized the Americanist.

Impact on foreign policy

Tomasz Płudowski noted that Trump's defeat in the House of Representatives and the Senate will not be directly felt in Poland.

Trump is more focused on cutting spending. He is willing to withdraw some troops or make it dependent on Poland's willingness to finance it and at the same time try various types of business with Russia. This is in contradiction with long-term, international and Polish goals. He would rather be willing to go to Putin's advantage, which would be to our detriment, said the guest of Radio RMF24.

The professor reassured that the Congress agrees that NATO is important, including Poland and the entire eastern flank of Europe.

Who will be the successor?

The guest of Radio RMF24 stated that Texas has become a typically Republican state, but is slowly moving towards the Democratic Party. Therefore, there is a chance that Democrats will take it over someday. He also added that it is difficult to estimate the exact number of voters of the current president of the United States.

Trump is one of the politicians that voters do not want to acknowledge - noted the Americanist.

The expert emphasized that the Democrats' victory does not mean that one of them will be elected as the next president.

Two years is a long time to distance yourself from Trump. He is already a so-called lame duck. We will see who will get a chance to represent, said the professor.

A guest of Radio RMF24 informed that Kamala Harris is a possible candidate, but said that she is not strong enough.

The American campaign is always quite long. If the Democratic candidate is weak, and there is no particularly strong one visible at the moment, it may happen that the Republican will win again - said Tomasz Płudowski.