AI-related stocks lead Friday rally as strong jobs data keeps Fed rate hike in play; ASX futures point to marginal gain
AI-generated summary
US stocks experienced a volatile week with tech stocks pulling out of a nosedive on Friday. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index had its biggest one-day drop since April 2025 before rebounding 4.2%. Nvidia's worst day since January 2025 was linked to the emergence of low-cost Chinese AI model DeepSeek. Stronger-than-expected US non-farm payrolls of 165,000 in October beat the consensus forecast of 70,000, with unemployment at 4.1%.
US tech stocks pulled out of their recent nosedive on Friday but still left Wall Street looking a touch shabbier and a trillion or so dollars lighter over the week.
The broad market benchmark, the S & P 500, gained as well, but the blue-chip Dow closed lower.
S & P 500: +0.3%
Dow: -0.5%
Nasdaq: +1.1%
Over the week US stocks shed 2.7% while the Japanese market was down more than 9%.
However, not every market suffered — Chinese shares rose 1.7% across the week, Europe gained 0.6% and the ASX came out 1.3% higher after a volatile week.
This week looks to be starting on a mildly positive note as well.
ASX 200 futures, when they closed on Saturday morning (AEDT), pointed to a marginal gain of around 0.2%.
In the US most of the buying action was in AI-related stocks.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index gained 4.2% after slumping in its biggest one-day drop since April 2025.
Nvidia rose nearly 3%, after its worst day since January 2025, when the emergence of low-cost Chinese AI model DeepSeek hammered markets.
Other heavyweight chipmakers, including AMD, Intel and Micron Technology closed up between 5% and 11%, while Elon Musk's Tesla and SpaceX were also up 4% and nearly 9% respectively after losses earlier this week.
"Most of the disruption of the AI buildout will not probably occur but it's just the uncertainty of the change in government from Republican-led to Democratic-led, not only at the federal level but the state, local levels," Sparrow Capital Management portfolio manager Gerry Sparrow told Reuters.
"That's causing some disruption in the expectations of investors … The volatility around elections or any political event, whether it be war or terrorist attack, is always going to disrupt the market."
The sentiment was helped by good economic news with stronger than expected jobs data.
Non-farm payrolls grew 165,000 in October, beating the consensus forecast of 70,000, and the unemployment rate came in at 4.1%, compared to prior of 4.2%.
Wages growth also ticked higher.
Those numbers kept a rate hike from the Fed in December very much in play and drove the US dollar higher.
The Aussie dollar shed more ground against the greenback.
It finished the week down 2.3% to reach its lowest level since March, unable to withstand the combination of strong US data, risk aversion on global markets and a softer domestic growth outlook.
Gold slipped a tad (-0.1%) thanks to the higher rates and US dollar but gained more than 5% for the week to close above $US4,000/ounce again.
The slide in oil prices halted on Friday, with Brent crude futures edging higher (just 3 US cents/barrel).
Over the week, Brent fell 17%, its steepest weekly percentage fall since the start of the COVID pandemic and its biggest in absolute terms.
Copper fell to its lowest level since July as traders mulled over the implications of a slower rollout of data centres in the US and across the globe.
Good morning and welcome to another day on the ABC markets and finance blog.
Stephen Letts from ABC business team limbering up for a blow-by-blow coverage of the day's events, where every post is hopefully a winner, but none should be construed as financial advice.
Wall Street closed higher, supported by a rally in AI-related stocks.
The ASX looks like shrugging off Friday's decline with futures trading pointing to a marginal gain on opening.
It's a busy day ahead.
ANZ is due to release it FY26 results before the market opens.
The key figure to keep your eye on is the consensus forecast for a cash profit of $7.5 billion, which would be 9% when excluding significant items.
Dividends are expected to be marginally higher — $1.70/share compared with $1.66/share last year.
We will also hear from RBA assistant governor and chief economist Sarah Hunter this morning.
On the data front, we'll get the latest consumer and producer inflation data from China in the afternoon.
The game's afoot, so let's get blogging.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
ASX will open with a marginal gain of around 0.2%
Likely · Within hours
ANZ will release FY26 results before market open with cash profit near consensus forecast
Likely · Within hours
RBA assistant governor Sarah Hunter will provide economic commentary
Certain · Within hours
ABC markets blogger Stephen Letts opens the day's coverage with Wall Street higher on AI stock gains, ASX futures pointing to a marginal opening gain, ANZ's FY26 results due before the open with consensus cash profit forecast at $7.5 billion (9% excluding significant items), dividends expected at $1.70 per share versus $1.66 last year, RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter speaking, and China consumer and producer inflation data due in the afternoon.
ASIC's review of 15 Australian financial services licensees found unlicensed telemarketers drove about $678 million in superannuation switches into riskier schemes over 17 months, with licensees collecting $9.8 million in up-front fees and inadequate controls in place.
Former Bathla Group employees are owed millions in unpaid wages and entitlements after the Sydney property developer entered voluntary administration in August owing at least $3.4 billion. About 200 former staff have joined forces to demand answers from administrators Teneo, while temporary visa holders face potential loss of their right to remain in Australia.
Australia's Reserve Bank interest rate hikes are a blunt but functional tool for cooling inflation, working through currency, saving incentives, asset prices, and household spending power. Alternatives including fiscal policy, an independent tax-setting body, superannuation adjustments, and supply-side measures face democratic, legislative, or timing constraints, leaving interest rates as the available mechanism despite their uneven impact on mortgage holders.
The $3.4 billion collapse of Bathla Group has left dozens of Sydney construction sites stalled, including a 47-home project in Box Hill where resident Rinnah Roque fears her neighbourhood will remain a construction site. Private equity firms are racing to appoint builders, but experts warn some sites could languish for years, affecting property values and leaving councils like Blacktown and The Hills Shire exposed to infrastructure costs and lost rate revenue.
At least three David Jones stores in Perth—Westfield Carousel, Garden City and Karrinyup—are set to close after the retailer entered receivership, while its CBD flagship faces an uncertain future amid $1.48 million in unpaid rent. The news comes as Morley Galleria reopened after a $240 million upgrade, highlighting contrasting retail fortunes across the metropolitan area.