Marília Campos leads voting intentions for the Senate in Minas Gerais with 21%, according to Datafolha
Quick Look
- Marília Campos (PT) appears with 21% of valid voting intentions for the Senate in Minas Gerais, according to a Datafolha survey released this Saturday (3), in a technical tie with Carlos Viana (PSD, 19%) and Domingos Sávio (PL, 17%).
- Aécio Neves (PSDB) has 13%.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Datafolha research released this Saturday (3) shows a scenario of a technical tie for the Senate in Minas Gerais, with a margin of error of two percentage points.
The former mayor of Contagem Marília Campos (PT) appears with 21% of valid voting intentions for the Senate in Minas Gerais, according to a new Datafolha survey released this Saturday (3), in a scenario of a technical tie with her opponents. Carlos Viana (PSD) has 19% of valid votes, while Domingos Sávio (PL) has 17%. Aécio Neves (PSDB) has 13%.
The scenario on the eve of the election maintains the uncertainty projected in the institute's previous surveys, considering the margin of error of two percentage points plus or minus.
Marcelo Aro (PP) and Áurea Carolina (PSOL) appear with 9%, Marco Antônio Superman (Novo), with 4%, and Ana Luiza from MLB (UP), with 2%. Carlin Moura (Avante), Victória Mello Vic (PSTU), Manoel Carvalho (MDB), Judge Ramon Moreira (DC), Arcanjo Pimenta (MDB), Fidélis Alcântara (UP) and Tião Pessoa (PCO) each scored 1%. Jordano Metalúrgico (PSTU) did not score.
Datafolha heard in person 2,010 voters aged 16 or over in Minas Gerais between Friday (2) and this Saturday (3). The confidence level for the estimates is 95%.
The survey, contracted by Folha and Globo, was filed with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under number MG-06705/2026.
Marília Campos remains ahead in total votes, with 13%, technically tied with Carlos Viana, who registers 12%, and Domingos Sávio, with 11%.
Next are Aécio Neves, with 8%, and Marcelo Aro and Áurea Carolina, with 6% each. Marco Antônio Superman records 3%, and MLB's Ana Luiza, Carlin Moura, Victória Mello Vic, Arcanjo Pimenta and Fidélis Alcântara each score 1%.
Manoel Carvalho, Judge Ramon Moreira, Tião Pessoa and Jordano Metalúrgico were mentioned, but did not reach 1% each. 13% are blank or null, and 23% are undecided.
In the spontaneous vote survey, when the names of the candidates are not previously presented to the interviewees, Marília and Carlos Viana each register 7% of voting intentions.
Domingos Sávio registers 5%, Áurea Carolina, 4%, and Marcelo Aro, 3%. Next are Aécio Neves, with 2%, and Marco Antônio Superman, who scores 1%. Other answers are 8%.
In this regard, uncertainty prevails: 55% of those interviewed stated that they are still undecided about who to vote for. Blanks and nulls add up to 8%.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Marília Campos, Carlos Viana and Domingos Sávio will contest the second round for the Senate in Minas Gerais, if none reaches an absolute majority in the first round.
Possible · Within months
Open Questions
- How can the uncertainty of 23% of voters influence the final result?
- What is the impact of the spontaneous survey, where Marília and Carlos Viana have 7% each?
- What are the projections for the second round, if necessary?







