
Nikkei gains sharply as investors look to US inflation data
AI-generated summary
The Asian stock markets are following the upward trend on Wall Street. Falling oil prices and hopes of an improvement in the situation in the Middle East are brightening the mood. US President Donald Trump had declared that he would forego new military strikes against Iran for the time being. The Nikkei recovered much of Friday's losses.
The hope of an easing of tensions in the Iran war provides confidence. Investors are focusing on US inflation data, which could provide information about future interest rates.
Singapore, Tokyo. The Asian stock markets are following the upward trend on Wall Street. Falling oil prices and hopes of an improvement in the situation in the Middle East are brightening the mood on the markets. US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he would forego new military strikes against Iran for the time being.
In Tokyo, the Nikkei index, which includes 225 stocks, rose 2.0 percent to 59,938 points, making up for a large part of Friday's losses in the last two trading days.
The broader Topix was 1.6 percent higher at 3,878 points.
The South Korean Kospi rose by more than five percent.
MSCI's broad index of Asia-Pacific shares gained 1.5 percent, moving away from its seven-month low hit the previous week.
The Shanghai Stock Exchange remained almost unchanged at 3,663 points.
The CSI 300 index of the 300 most important Chinese companies on the mainland stock exchanges stagnated at 4,058.95 points.
The latest developments raised hopes of an early end to the conflict in the Middle East, said Nick Twidale, chief market strategist at ATFX Global. However, the risk now is that the markets have moved too far and too fast. “Any indication of a breakdown in negotiations could lead to a significant price increase as traders would quickly price in the geopolitical risk premium.”
Investors in Asia are also looking at upcoming US inflation data, which could provide insight into future interest rates. "The Nikkei's strong gains in the last two sessions are a surprise," said Kazuaki Shimada, chief strategist at IwaiCosmo Securities. “However, gains were limited as investors did not want to bet on the Nikkei breaking above 61,000 points.”
The Nikkei fell almost six percent on Friday. AI stocks fell on concerns that the US Congress would curb investment in artificial intelligence following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections.
Winners in Asia include technology investor SoftBank Group, which rose 14.38 percent, and semiconductor stocks Advantest and Tokyo Electron, which rose 4.93 percent and 5.66 percent respectively. Japanese memory chip maker Kioxia jumped 7.6 percent.
The gains came despite Nvidia falling 4.2 percent overnight on Wall Street amid controversy surrounding CEO Jensen Huang. “The market so far sees the impact of the issue as being limited to Nvidia rather than the broader industry,” said IwaiCosmo’s Shimada.
The losers include Toyota Motor with a loss of 1.63 percent and the soy sauce manufacturer Kikkoman with a loss of 13 percent.
Meanwhile, the boom in artificial intelligence (AI) products continued to boost China's exports in October. Exports rose by 35.2 percent compared to the same month last year, as the customs authority announced on Tuesday. Economists polled by Reuters had expected an increase of 33.5 percent. Imports even increased by 41.6 percent. Analysts had only expected an increase of 32 percent. In September, exports rose by 36.3 percent and imports by 31 percent. This means that the country's trade surplus is heading towards over a trillion dollars for the second year in a row.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The US inflation data will provide information about the future course of interest rates.
Very likely · Within days
A failure of negotiations could lead to a significant price increase.
Possible · Within weeks

China's foreign trade has reached a surplus of around $1.04 trillion this year, according to the customs authority. Drivers include the AI boom and strong exports, which are likely to cause displeasure among trading partners.
China's exports rose by 35.2 percent in October compared to the previous year, and imports by 41.6 percent. The trade surplus fell from $133.5 billion in September to $105.3 billion in October. Between January and October, the surplus was $1.04 trillion. Overcapacity and weak domestic demand are forcing China to export, while EU trade restrictions and US tariffs pose risks.

BMW has to cancel individual shifts at the Regensburg, Leipzig and Oxford plants because parts are missing. The company does not name the affected parts or the reasons. A shift can affect several hundred cars, but according to BMW, the failures can often be made up for.

According to Correctiv, Germany is experiencing the largest percentage loss in purchasing power for staple foods in Europe. The pancake index fell from 20 to 16.7 pancakes. Experts criticize the method as dubious.

Stephan Buchner moved from Egon Zehnder to Heidrick & Struggles after 29 years. The 64-year-old headhunter, who specializes in consumer goods, retail, media, entertainment and sports, attributes the change to the entrepreneurial spirit and spirit of optimism in US consulting. Heidrick & Struggles now has 29 consultants in Germany.

According to IATA, kerosene prices are 118 percent above the previous year's average at $1,550 per ton. Airlines are cutting capacity and raising ticket prices while hedging ratios for 2027 are falling. Industry managers warn against excessive price increases.