Oil prices higher as Trump announces "Project Freedom" to free ships trapped in Hormuz Strait closure
U.S. launches military operation to escort civilian vessels through blocked waterway as tanker hit near Fujairah
Quick Look
- Oil prices rose Monday as Trump announced "Project Freedom," a U.S. military operation to free cargo ships trapped by the Strait of Hormuz closure.
- Brent crude futures jumped 2.27% to $110.63/barrel while WTI added 1.98% to $103.96.
- The operation involves destroyers, over 100 aircraft, and 15,000 service members.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical energy waterway through which about a fifth of the world's energy supplies transit. The closure has caused near-total halt to traffic, trapping civilian ships. This comes amid the Iran war and escalating tensions between Tehran and Washington.
Oil prices traded higher Monday, as market participants assess U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement to "free" ships that have been trapped due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, amid lingering tensions between Tehran and Washington. July futures for international benchmark Brent crude were up 2.27% at $110.63 per barrel as of 4:24 a.m. ET, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for June added 1.98% at $103.96 per barrel. As the Hormuz Strait continues to face a blockade, traffic via the critical energy waterway that saw about a fifth of the world's energy supplies transit through it prior to the war, has come to a near standstill. The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations agency said Monday that a tanker was hit by projectiles north of the city of of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates, underscoring the dangers for ships navigating the Mideast region. Trump said in his Truth Social post Sunday that the U.S. would attempt to "free" stranded cargo ships affected by the Strait of Hormuz closure since the start of the Iran war. Dubbed "Project Freedom," the effort will focus mainly on getting civilian ships flagged in countries not affiliated with the conflict out of the waterway so they can "freely and ably get on with their business." It is set to begin on Monday. "U.S. military support to Project Freedom will include guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 service members," the U.S. Central Command said shortly after Trump's announcement. Traders will also be assessing OPEC+ agreeing to an oil output increase of 188,000 barrels per day, in the cartel's first meeting since the exit of its key member, the United Arab Emirates. Gaurav Ganguly, head of international economics at Moody's Analytics, warned of the impact of a prolonged Mideast conflict on global economy on CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia," as oil prices stay elevated: "It doesn't take much from this point for the global economy to sink into recession. We estimate something like $125 for Brent over a sustained period of time will push the global economy into some sort of recession."
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Oil prices will remain elevated as long as Hormuz closure persists
Very likely · Within weeks
Further tanker attacks in the region are likely
Likely · Within weeks
Open Questions
- How long will the Hormuz closure last?
- Will Iran respond to Project Freedom?
- Can OPEC+ output increase offset the supply disruption?






