Prof. Dr. Türkeş: We expect heavy rains that may lead to such disasters from now on
Prof. from Boğaziçi University. Dr. Murat Türkeş stated that the recent rainfalls were above normal and warned that heavy rainfalls and disasters may increase due to climate change.
Quick Look
- Prof. from Boğaziçi University.
- Murat Türkeş stated that the recent rainfall in Istanbul and surrounding provinces was above normal, and emphasized that heavy rainfall and disasters may increase due to the effect of climate change.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
In recent days, rainfall above seasonal norms has been recorded in Istanbul, Bursa, Balıkesir, Sakarya and Kocaeli.
Stating that concretion, inadequate infrastructure and construction in stream beds are effective in turning rainfall into disasters, Boğaziçi University Climate Change and Policies Application and Research Center Board Member Prof. Dr. Murat Türkeş made statements on the subject. Prof. said that the rainfall in some parts of Bursa, Balıkesir, Sakarya and Kocaeli, especially in Istanbul in the last few days, was above the long-term normal. Dr. Türkeş stated that in November and winter, precipitation in a significant part of Türkiye is generally around normal, and may be above normal in the West, Northwest, North, Northeast and Eastern Mediterranean.
"THIS YEAR WE WILL RECEIVE RAINFALL AROUND OR ABOVE NORMAL"
Stating that there has been a significant change in the pressure and wind systems that have brought rainfall to Türkiye since December last year, compared to previous dry years, Prof. Dr. Murat Türkeş said, "This year, very strong rainy systems that cause floods and inundations in cities have opened up for Türkiye, due to the change in important circulation patterns in the North Atlantic and Mediterranean basins. We will receive precipitation around or above normal this year. Increases in land and sea surface temperatures increase evaporation and transpiration in a large part of the world. When conditions that can cause precipitation occur in the atmosphere, the amount of moisture in the atmosphere increases, so the precipitation will be stronger, mostly showers and thunderstorms." "It happens more frequently that it falls like this," he said.
"IT CAUSES FRONTALITY OR INDECISION TO RAIN"
Prof. Dr. Türkeş continued his words as follows:
"The fact that precipitation begins to fall more in the form of showers, heavy showers and thunderstorms means that larger amounts of large amounts of rain will fall on the unit area in a short time, as we have seen in the recent rains. Under climate change conditions, especially in transition seasons, when cold air is introduced from the north with a low center or a deep trough when the surface is still hot, this encounter leads to very effective frontal or instability precipitation. Those precipitations turn into rural and urban disasters. In the Mediterranean Basin and "We expect heavy rainfall events that can lead to such disasters in Türkiye when the surface is still very hot and humid from now on. As a result of global warming under climate change conditions, we expect the rainfall to be stronger, more extreme, and strong enough to cause disasters."
"DIASTASTRAS OCCUR WHERE NATURE IS DISTORTED"
Prof. Dr. said that heavy rainfall causes floods and floods in places where infrastructure is inadequate, improper construction is present, natural streams and streams are destroyed, human settlements, organized industrial zones and residences are built in river floodplains or channels. Dr. Murat Türkeş said, "In many metropolises, especially in Istanbul, it causes surface floods and floods because there is no soil left that can absorb such high rainfall in such a short time. It also causes floods, floods and urban floods in cities that cover very large areas, whose climate is unstable and whose geography is degraded. Disasters occur in places where nature is deteriorated and destroyed, streams and streams are destroyed, and human activities settle in stream beds."
"WE NEED TO REPAIR"
Touching on the precautions that can be taken in this regard, Prof. Dr. Türkeş said, "Just as drought management is considered, rainwater management and heavy excessive rainfalls also need to be taken under control and managed. We need to create urban infrastructure, flood and rainwater discharge systems, and repair the natural geography and river network that we have damaged. Otherwise, we can neither save residential areas, organized industrial zones, shopping malls, nor roads and intersections from such rains."
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Rainfall will be above normal in the West, Northwest, Northern and Eastern Mediterranean.
Likely · Within months
Open Questions
- What concrete steps will local governments take for stream beds?
- When will urban infrastructure transformation begin?




