G13 hours agoPolitics1 min readBrazil

Quaest in DF, 2nd round: Flávio Bolsonaro, 50%; Lula, 40%

Quick Look

Quaest survey carried out between October 8th and 11th shows Lula with 51% of voting intentions and Flávio Bolsonaro with 49% in the second round of the presidential elections in the Federal District.
94% of voters say that the choice is final, while 6% can still change their vote until October 25th.
The survey interviewed 1,104 people with a margin of error of 3 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

This is the first round of research since the second round between Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula was confirmed, last Sunday (4). The second round will be on October 25th. On that date, DF voters also decide the election for governor, between Celina Leão (PP) and Leandro Grass.

Font size

This is the first round of research since the second round between Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula was confirmed, last Sunday (4).

The second round will be on October 25th. On that date, DF voters also decide the election for governor, between Celina Leão (PP) and Leandro Grass.

For 94% of voters interviewed in the survey, the choice of candidate is definitive. Another 6% say they can still change their vote until the second round.

Quaest interviewed 1,104 people aged 16 and over between October 8th and 11th. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The research registration number is DF-08737/2026.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

Lula will win the second round in the Federal District with 51% of the votes
Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

How is the research distributed among different age groups and education levels?
What is the specific margin of error for each candidate?
What are the main concerns of voters who can still change their vote?