
Mohsin Rezai, Secretary General of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, sent a message to Washington by pointing out three different Iranian tendencies in the Trump administration.
AI-generated summary
The article discusses three different trends in the Trump administration's Iran policy, represented by J.D. Vance, Pete Hegseth, and Marco Rubio. US midterm elections and political outcomes in Israel may influence these policies.
The arrogant Trump often said: "I don't know who our counterpart is in Iran. Because we destroyed Iran's leadership." This was an example of "disrespect for the enemy" of a kind not seen even in the Middle Ages, and it went down in the political history of the modern USA!
The arrogant Trump got his reward from the Iranian officials, not in a "vulgar American" way, but in a "Persian cultural" subtlety. Mohsin Rezai, Secretary General of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, said after the US election: "Vance has admitted defeat, Rubio is about to leave, Hegseth will be dismissed, the CENTCOM commander has become a podcaster! Who do we need to deliver this message in Washington, 'If you start a war, you will face a devastating response'?"
VANCE'S FOUR SOLUTIONS
The three names Rezai chose in his message, Vance, Hegseth and Rubio, have three different tendencies in the policies to be followed against Iran within the Trump administration.
Immediately after the election, on November 5, in our review titled "How will the US election reflect on Iran" in this column, we said the following: "Within the Trump administration, Vice President JD Vance was advocating negotiations with Iran and a way out, Pentagon chief Hegseth was advocating a renewed attack, and Secretary of State Rubio and Treasury Secretary Bessent were advocating an economic blockade. We can say that the line represented by JD Vance has become stronger and the line represented by Hegseth has weakened."
In his statement immediately after the November 3, 2026 election results, Vance announced that the “obvious reason” for their defeat was the Iran war. Stating that he met with a poll expert to win back voters who had moved away from the Republican Party, Vance listed four points for a solution: "1) ending the war with Iran, 2) focusing on the cost of living and inflation, 3) adopting the 'America First' approach, and 4) changing relations with Israel."
Moreover, JD Vance has to fight on several fronts: The US midterm election result prevented Trump from seeking the nomination for the third time in 2028, despite the constitution, but also weakened JD Vance's possible candidacy. By correctly reading his election defeat, Vance is struggling to maintain his own candidacy while also trying to prevent the disintegration of the MAGA movement that brought the Trump-Vance duo to the White House.
ISRAEL'S BURDEN ON THE USA'S BACK
It is important that Vance included the factor of "changing relations with Israel" among the solution items. Because the "Iran war", but rather the "defeat to Iran", had brought out "complaints about Israel's growing burden" in the USA. This was also reflected in the election. Senators and members of the House of Representatives who openly complained about this burden were elected to the US Congress. Moreover, despite the Israeli lobby's clear efforts to obstruct it.
In this respect, the US midterm election was also a defeat for the Israel lobby. Of course, the USA will not stop supporting Israel, but it may have to "contain" Israeli aggression to a certain extent.
This possibility was actually detected by the Israeli state apparatus. In this column, on October 17, we reviewed it under the title "Israel's new security doctrine": "A parting of ways with the USA is envisaged. The USA is described as a 'declining power' and it is thought that this situation will accelerate its 'abandonment of Israel'. It is stated that Israel's security should be based solely on its own military power, and it is argued that severing ties with the USA is not only inevitable, but also mandatory for the resistance of the national identity."
THE TABLE IS IN FAVOR OF IRAN
A difficult turning point has been reached for the Trump-Netanyahu duo. Netanyahu lost his majority in the election on October 27, and Trump lost both houses of Congress a week later on November 3.
In the week before November 3, Trump was putting pressure on Israeli President Herzog to "give Netanyahu the task of forming the government." On November 7, Herzog gave the task of forming the government not to Netanyahu, but to his rival Ayzenkot.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The USA may have to restrain Israeli aggression to some extent.
Possible · Within months

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