
AI-generated summary
Prime Minister Donald Tusk spoke after the European Council summit in Brussels, where support for Ukraine was discussed in the face of changes in the policy of the US administration under President Donald Trump. He drew attention to the difficult energy situation in Ukraine and cited the warning of the former head of the National Security Bureau, Jacek Siewiera, about the possible escalation of Russia's hybrid war against Europe before Christmas Eve.
Prime Minister Tusk told journalists on Friday after the European Council summit that a uniform attitude prevailed during the talks in Brussels regarding supporting Kiev in the face of the change in the approach of the US administration led by President Donald Trump.
If Ukraine falls, we will all have very, very serious problems, Tusk noted. He also drew attention to the dramatic energy situation in Ukraine, which is struggling with a lack of electricity and gas problems.
Tusk: Even before Christmas Eve
During the briefing, he was also asked about the words of the former head of the National Security Bureau, Jacek Siewiera, who said that a "fundamental chord" in Russia's hybrid war against Europe should be expected this winter.
I don't play with "my predictions" or intuitions. For me, what is important is knowledge and specific messages about what to do and how to act - both from our, Ukrainian and allied special services. All this adds up to one obvious message: we can expect some escalation before Christmas Eve, said Prime Minister Tusk.
The Prime Minister pointed to the borders and railway tracks
He added that "winter will be very difficult, especially when it comes to borders, railway tracks - everything that can be used for transport on the Ukrainian side, including gas, oil and food."
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Possible escalation of Russia's hybrid war against Europe before Christmas Eve 2026
Possible · Within weeks

Reuters reports that since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, deep divisions within the International Monetary and Financial Committee have made it impossible to adopt joint statements by consensus, and tensions have intensified this year, including: due to the deterioration of relations between the US and Ukraine, which led to some delegations, including EU representatives, leaving the hall during the Russian minister's speech.

President Trump signed the Graham Act codifying sanctions against Russia, but later repealed the tariffs on Russian oil and goods, while announcing an agreement with Putin to import 4.8 million tons of diesel fuel and suspending sanctions until April 2027.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated that it is possible to introduce visa restrictions for Russians entering the EU, but did not provide specific dates. He assessed that Russia was not ready to end the war in Ukraine and was escalating its actions by attacking energy infrastructure. Additionally, he informed that the current EUR 90 billion of aid for Ukraine for 2026-2027 is insufficient and additional needs will be determined in the coming weeks.

During the week, 12 attacks on ships were reported in the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding waters, as a result of which one ship sank, six continued their voyage, two were disabled, and in three cases no damage was confirmed. Since February, after the US-Israeli attack on Iran, there have been 135 maritime incidents with 76 deaths or injuries. Transit traffic through the strait has dropped by 70 percent compared to the pre-conflict period.

In September 2025, Ukraine recorded the highest number of civilian casualties since the beginning of full-scale Russian aggression, especially in Kiev and large cities. The UN emphasizes the link between the increase in casualties and the intensification of Russian attacks on energy infrastructure, which may violate international humanitarian law.

German media criticize Europe's dependence on American technologies and US policies. Commentators warn that limiting Ukraine's access to the Starshield system is a signal for the EU to urgently build its own defense and satellite capabilities.