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BackSaksonya-Anhalt Seçimi: AfD Yüzde 42 ile Önde, Tarihî Bir Aşırı Sağ İktidarı Açabilir
Saksonya-Anhalt Seçimi: AfD Yüzde 42 ile Önde, Tarihî Bir Aşırı Sağ İktidarı Açabilir
BREAKING
Hürriyet Dünya1 hour agoPolitics1 min readTürkiyeView translation

Saksonya-Anhalt Seçimi: AfD Yüzde 42 ile Önde, Tarihî Bir Aşırı Sağ İktidarı Açabilir

Quick Look

  • Saksonya-Anhalt'ta yaklaşık 1,69 milyon seçmen bugün oy kullanacak.
  • Son anketlerde AfD %42 ile önde, CDU %23, Sol Parti %11.5, SPD %8.5 ve Yeşiller %6.
  • AfD'nin iktidarı Alman Anayasası'nın kabulünden bu yana ilk aşırı sağ hükümet olacak ve 2029 genel seçimlerinde alternatif bir hükümet olarak görülebileceği değerlendiriliyor.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Saksonya-Anhalt'ta 6 Haziran 2021'de yapılan seçimlerde CDU %37.1, AfD %20.8, Sol Parti %11, SPD %8.4, FDP %6.4 ve Yeşiller %5.9 oy almıştı. Bugünkü seçimlerde AfD'nin oy oranı önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.

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Yaklaşık 2.8 milyon nüfuslu Saksonya-Anhalt’ta hem eyaletin kaderini belirleyecek hem de Almanya’yı etkileyecek seçimlerde 1 milyon 690 bine yakın seçmenin çok büyük bir bölümü bugün sandık başı yapacak. Son anketlerde aşırı sağcı AfD, açık ara birinci parti görünüyor. “Seçim Araştırma Grubu” tarafından 1-3 Eylül tarihlerinde Saksonya-Anhalt’ta Alman devlet televizyonu ZDF adına yapılan son ankete göre, bugün yapılacak seçimlerde AfD’nin yüzde 42, Hristiyan Demokrat Birlik Parti’nin (CDU) yüzde 23, Sol Parti’nin yüzde 11.5, Sosyal Demokrat Parti’nin (SPD) yüzde 8.5 ve Yeşiller’in yüzde 6 oy alması bekleniyor. Sahra Wagenknecht İttifakı’nın (BSW) yüzde 4, Hür Demokrat Parti’nin (FDP) yüze 3 oy alarak yüzde 5 barajı altında kalacağı öngörülüyor. Saksonya Anhalt’ta 6 Haziran 2021 tarihinde yapılan seçimlerde CDU yüzde 37.1, AfD yüzde 20.8, Sol Parti yüzde 11, SPD yüzde 8.4, FDP yüzde 6.4, Yeşiller yüzde 5.9 oy almıştı.

Her ne kadar AfD’nin eyalet başbakan adayı Ulrich Siegmund, “Mutlak çoğunluğu sağlayamazsak iktidara talip olmayız” dese de, BSW veya CDU’lu bazı parlamenterlerin dıştan desteğiyle AfD iktidarı senaryosu ihtimaller dahilinde. AfD’nin olası iktidarı İkinci Dünya Savaşı’ndan sonra 23 Mayıs 1949 tarihinde Alman Anayasası’nın kabulüyle resmen kurulan Almanya Federal Cumhuriyeti’nde ilk aşırı sağ iktidarı anlamına gelecek. Oy oranını sürekli olarak arttıran AfD’nin 2029 yılında yapılacak genel seçimlerde ise gerçek bir hükümet alternatifi olarak görülebileceği değerlendiriliyor.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • AfD, Saksonya-Anhalt'ta iktidara gelecek ve bu, Almanya Federal Cumhuriyeti'nin tarihî ilk aşırı sağ hükümeti olacak.

    Likely · Within days

  • AfD'nin olası iktidarı, 2029 yılında yapılacak Alman genel seçimlerinde gerçek bir hükümet alternatifi olarak görülebilecek.

    Possible · Within years

Open Questions

  • AfD gerçekten mutlak çoğunluk sağlayabilir mi?
  • BSW veya CDU parlamenterleri AfD'ye dıştan destek verecek mi?
  • AfD'nin potansiyel iktidarı Almanya'nın diğer eyaletlerine nasıl etki edecek?

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This article was originally published by Hürriyet Dünya.

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