
SIPRI senior fellow Laura Saalman said the traditional Cold War arms control concept was outdated as countries were reluctant to limit their options due to existing challenges and threats and instead tended to discuss strategic stability and mutual trust, warning that an over-focus on abstract concepts could hinder the achievement of practical measures.
AI-generated summary
The article discusses the obsolescence of the traditional Cold War arms control concept in light of modern geopolitical challenges and threats, with an emphasis on the positions of China, Russia and the United States.
The concept of arms control from the Cold War is essentially a thing of the past. Most countries do not want to limit their capabilities due to the challenges, conflicts and threats they face,” Saalman said when asked to comment on the current situation in the field of arms control.
She noted that experts from different countries generally agree that at this stage, China, Russia and the United States seem more inclined to discuss strategic stability or engage in dialogue about mutual trust.
However, she expressed concern that delving too deeply into broad and abstract concepts would hinder the achievement of more practical and concrete measures to strengthen mutual trust.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
China, Russia and the US will continue to discuss strategic stability and mutual trust instead of traditional arms control
Likely · Within months
Without a transition to concrete confidence-building measures, the risk of escalation in the area of strategic stability will remain high
Possible · Within months

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