Voting intentions and the judgment on the measures of the Maneuver are at the center of the latest survey by Youtrend for Sky TG24. From what has emerged, Fratelli d'Italia is declining while the Pd and Roberto Vannacci's National Future are growing a little. Moving on to the Budget Law, only 13% expect beneficial effects on families. The tax stamp and the bill for newborns are promoted, cuts to schools and military spending are rejected. Among the opposition's proposals, 70% like the minimum wage (even on the right).
On the management of the economy, 26% of Italians trust the centre-right majority more and 21% the centre-left opposition. But the most suitable answer is "neither" (40%). 13% do not express their opinion.
Looking more deeply, trust in the management of the economy is very asymmetrical between the two sides: 75% of centre-right voters trust the majority, while in the Campo Largo only 52% trust the opposition and 43% trust no one.
Let's move on to the judgment on the 2027 Budget: 13% of Italians believe that the budget will have a positive effect on the economic situation of their family, 39% do not expect any effect and 28% fear a negative effect. 20% do not express themselves.
Looking at the measures of the Maneuver, this is the opinion of the interviewees. The cut in the Irpef rate between 50 and 55 thousand euros is liked by 49% (against 32%). The INPS savings account for newborns is appreciated by 56% (against 30%). 49% like the 1% tax on salary increases for those under 30 (against 33%).
The Istat adjustment to downward inflation for pensions above 2,500 euros gross divides Italians: 36% positive opinion, 36% negative, 28% don't know. Similar speech for the increase of the flat tax for VAT numbers to 100,000 euros: 30% like it, 41% are against it. The cut to the school of around 7 thousand positions between teachers and ATA staff was rejected: 15% positive opinion, against 72% negative.
As regards the cuts in school places, this measure does not even convince the centre-right: among the majority voters, 32% give a positive opinion and 57% give a negative opinion.
Among the measures of the Budget Law for 2027, the most appreciated is the exemption from tax for cars up to 80 kW and motorbikes: 62% positive opinion, 25% negative. The paid personalized license plate was rejected: 25% had a positive opinion, compared to 54%. The increase of 1.3 billion for military missions abroad was also rejected: 21% like it, 60% are against it.
Center-right voters are also critical of spending on military missions: 38% have a positive opinion, 47% have a negative opinion.
As regards the opinion on the opposition's proposals, the legal minimum wage of 9 euros per hour is approved by 70% of Italians, against 17% of those against: it is the most appreciated proposal of all those submitted in the survey, including those of the Maneuver. The tax on assets over 5.4 million euros receives 50% positive opinions, against 25% negative ones and 25% undecided ones. The reintroduction of a new citizen's income is the only proposal with a negative balance (41% positive, 45% negative).
Looking at the minimum wage, consensus exceeds that of the centre-left: 58% of majority voters approve it, in addition to 92% of Campo Largo.
The proposal on the tax on large estates is supported by 78% of voters in Campo Largo, while in the centre-right those against it slightly prevail (42% positive opinions versus 46% negative).
Looking at voting intentions by party, it emerges that Fratelli d'Italia has dropped to 27.4%: compared to the last survey on 30 October it recorded a -0.7%. The Democratic Party, however, rises to 20.3% (+0.4): the gap between the two parties is reduced to 7.1 points, compared to 8.2 in the previous survey. The 5 Star Movement is at 13.2% (-0.3). Futuro Nazionale rises to 7.2% (+0.2) and surpasses Forza Italia, which falls to 6.7% (-0.3): in the previous survey the two parties were tied.
Then we find the Green-Left Alliance which is at 6.3% (-0.1% compared to the survey of 30 October). Behind is the League, which rises to 5.5% (+0.5). Azione rises to 3.6% (+0.2), Italia Viva to 2.9% (+0.2).
Still looking at voting intentions, Ora is at 1.0% (-0.2). The other centre-right parties are at 1.6% (-0.2), the other centre-left lists at 1.3% (-0.2). The other parties are at 3% (+0.5).
Let's move on to voting intentions by coalition: the broader centre-left (PD, M5S, AVS, IV and other lists) is stable at 44%, while the centre-right (FdI, FI, Lega and other lists) drops to 41.2%. Adding Futuro Nazionale, the right-wing area would reach 48.4%.
The work of the government led by Giorgia Meloni is defined as very or quite negative by 61% of those interviewed. The opinion is very or quite positive for 34%. The opinion, therefore, improves slightly compared to October 30th: positive opinions rise by 1%, negative ones fall by 3. "I don't know" are at 5% (+2). The negative balance is reduced to 27 points, from 31 in the previous survey.
Survey carried out with CAWI methodology between 7 and 9 November 2026 on a sample of 810 interviewees representative of the adult population resident in Italy, investigated by gender and age quotas, stratified by educational qualification and ISTAT distribution of residence. The margin of error is ±3.4% with a 95% confidence interval.
