SportsLine Model Predicts Under 54.5 Points in Ole Miss vs. Louisville College Football Matchup
Quick Look
- The SportsLine projection model simulates the Week 1 college football game between No.
- 9 Ole Miss and No.
- 24 Louisville 10,000 times, predicting the Under on the 54.5-point total in 60% of simulations due to expected strong defensive performances from both teams, with Ole Miss favored by 6.5 points at Nissan Stadium in Nashville.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Ole Miss made the College Football Playoff last year under Lane Kiffin, who left for LSU, leading to Pete Golding taking over. Louisville has won at least nine games in each of Jeff Brohm's three seasons as head coach in the ACC.
The only ranked-on-ranked matchup of the Week 1 college football schedule comes on Sunday evening as the No. 9 Ole Miss Rebels and No. 24 Louisville Cardinals meet in Nashville. Ole Miss made the College Football Playoff last year, but is beginning a new era with Pete Golding in charge for his first full season after he took over in the playoff run last year following Lane Kiffin's exit to LSU. Heisman candidate quarterback Trinidad Chambliss returns, giving Ole Miss a sky-high ceiling this season. Louisville has been a consistent contender in the ACC under Jeff Brohm as the Cardinals have won at least nine games in all three of his seasons. Visit our DraftKings promo code review and get $200 in bonus bets as a new user after $5+ in wagers here:
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn. The Rebels are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Ole Miss vs. Louisville odds, while the over/under is 54.5 points. Before making any Louisville vs. Ole Miss picks, check out the Louisville vs. Ole Miss predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. It is on a 32-19 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks on betting sites since the 2024 season, and it has been upgraded for the 2026 season to even better factor in the transfer portal. Anybody following its college football betting picks could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Louisville vs. Ole Miss. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Ole Miss vs. Louisville.
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Top Ole Miss vs. Louisville predictions
After simulated Louisville vs. Ole Miss 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Under (54.5 points) on the total at the best betting apps. Ole Miss has arguably the best backfield in the nation with Chambliss at quarterback and Kewan Lacy at running back. Louisville, however, is projected to be stout defensively this year after finishing in the top 40 in scoring and total defense last year. Anchored by NFL prospects such as Clev Lubin and A.J. Green on the defensive front, Louisville appears have the personnel to at least slow this high-powered Ole Miss attack.
The Rebels might have bigger names on offense, but they were one of the better defenses in the nation last year, and they reinforced that side of the ball with several big transfer portal additions. SportsLine's model has neither team scoring more than 30 points as they combine for 49, making the Under the value play in 60% of simulations. See the model's spread and money-line picks at SportsLine.
How to make Louisville vs. Ole Miss picks
In addition to going Under on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The combined score of Ole Miss vs. Louisville will stay under 54.5 points.
Likely · Within hours
One side of the point spread will hit in nearly 60% of simulations.
Likely · Within hours
Open Questions
- Will Trinidad Chambliss perform at Heisman-caliber level this season?
- Can Louisville's defense slow Ole Miss's high-powered offense as projected?
- How will the transfer portal additions impact Ole Miss's defense this season?







