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BackSportsLine Model Releases Week 4 2026 NFL Fantasy Football Rankings with Surprising Picks
SportsLine Model Releases Week 4 2026 NFL Fantasy Football Rankings with Surprising Picks
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CBS Sports44 minutes agoSports2 min readUnited States

SportsLine Model Releases Week 4 2026 NFL Fantasy Football Rankings with Surprising Picks

Quick Look

  • SportsLine's predictive model has released its Week 4 2026 NFL Fantasy football rankings, highlighting underperforming stars like Drake Maye and Justin Herbert, noting injuries to key players, and identifying surprise starts including C.J.
  • Stroud and an unnamed wide receiver projected to outperform Davante Adams and CeeDee Lamb in PPR formats.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

SportsLine's predictive model simulates NFL games thousands of times to generate Fantasy football rankings and has historically outperformed human experts in player projections.

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With three games in the rearview mirror, there's a solid sample size to construct Week 4 Fantasy football rankings. Team and player trends have become clearer, with a number of players expected to be weekly starters in Fantasy football lineups disappointing so far. Drake Maye, Justin Herbert, Omarion Hampton, Courtland Sutton and Tucker Kraft have all underperformed, leaving you with some difficult Week 4 Fantasy football start-sit decisions.

That's just one part of your Fantasy football strategy as you also have to account for new injuries. De'Von Achane is out for the year, with Travis Etienne and Baker Mayfield out for a few weeks. Justin Jefferson and Mike Evans are expected to be game-time decisions for Sunday, as you may have to consider alternative options with your Week 4 Fantasy football picks. Before setting your Week 4 Fantasy football lineups, be sure to check out the Week 4 Fantasy football rankings from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

When it comes to ranking players, SportsLine's model beat human experts in Fantasy football for the past several seasons, especially when there were big differences in ranking. Over the course of a season, that could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, including being ahead of the curve on players like A.J. Brown, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Jahmyr Gibbs. Anybody who banked on players like those could have made a run at their league title.

Now, the model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has revealed its Fantasy football rankings for Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top Week 4 Fantasy football picks

One surprise in Week 4: The model isn't high on Eagles wideout DeVonta Smith, despite him averaging 78.3 yards per game with one touchdown scored as the WR11 in PPR leagues. The same offensive struggles that Philly had last year have carried over to this season as it is bottom 10 in points scored, yards gained and passing offense. Smith and the Eagles face the Rams on Sunday, and the wideout has never topped 60 yards in three career games versus Los Angeles. Additionally, L.A. has the stingiest defense in terms of limiting wide receivers as no team has allowed fewer catches to wideouts than the Rams in 2026. Smith doesn't even crack the top 25 at his position as he's a player to fade this week.

Another curveball: the model is high on Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud, even though he's just the QB18 thus far. Stroud is seventh in the league with 794 passing yards and is one of three quarterbacks who has started all three games and yet to throw an interception. That's despite not having Nico Collins (hamstring) the last two weeks, but the wideout's expected to be back on Sunday versus Dallas. Playing the Cowboys is a reason why the model is high on Stroud as Dallas has allowed the third most Fantasy points to QBs, the third highest passer rating and the fourth most passing touchdowns. For more start/sit Fantasy football advice, be sure to check out the rest of the Week 4 Fantasy football rankings.

How to set Week 4 Fantasy football rankings

The model is also calling for a surprising wide receiver you aren't even thinking about to finish in the top 10 of its Week 4 Fantasy football rankings, ahead of the likes of Davante Adams and CeeDee Lamb. This pick could be the difference between winning big and going home with nothing. See the model's entire Week 4 Fantasy football rankings for PPR and standard leagues here.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • C.J. Stroud will outperform his QB18 ranking and deliver strong Fantasy points in Week 4.

    Likely · Within days

  • DeVonta Smith will underperform relative to his seasonal averages and fail to crack the top 25 WRs in Week 4 PPR rankings.

    Likely · Within days

  • An unnamed wide receiver will finish in the top 10 of SportsLine's Week 4 Fantasy rankings, outperforming Davante Adams and CeeDee Lamb.

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • Which specific wide receiver is projected to finish in the top 10 ahead of Davante Adams and CeeDee Lamb?
  • What is the exact ranking of C.J. Stroud in the model's Week 4 projections?
  • How does the model account for Nico Collins' potential return in its Texans offense projection?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by CBS Sports.

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