Texas vs. LSU prediction, odds, time: Week 11 college football picks from proven model
No. 6 Texas visits No. 21 LSU at Tiger Stadium on Saturday night
Quick Look
- 6 Texas (7-2, 4-2 SEC) travels to Baton Rouge to face No.
- 21 LSU at Tiger Stadium on Saturday at 7:30 p.m.
- Texas, which flew in Friday after an FAA ground stoppage was lifted, has won three straight since mid-October losses.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Texas is ranked sixth with a 7-2 record and 4-2 in SEC play, having won three straight since dropping back-to-back games in mid-October. LSU is ranked 21st and lost 31-13 to Alabama in Week 10, ending its bid for a three-game win streak. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.
A top-25 SEC matchup on Saturday's college football schedule has the Texas Longhorns visiting the LSU Tigers. Texas was able to fly to LSU on Friday night after the FAA ground stoppage was lifted. The sixth-ranked Longhorns (7-2, 4-2 SEC) have won three straight since dropping back-to-back games in mid-October, and the Longhorns knocked off Missouri, 34-20, last Saturday. No. 21 LSU saw its bid for a three-game win streak come to an end with a 31-13 loss to Alabama in Week 10. New Orleans native and UT quarterback, Arch Manning, will play his first game in Louisiana since high school. Running back Hollywood Smothers and offensive tackle Trevor Goosby remain out for Texas.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, La. The Tigers are 4.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 46.5 in the latest LSU vs. Texas odds. Before making any Texas vs. LSU picks, check out the LSU vs. Texas predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
After simulating LSU vs. Texas 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Over 46.5 points (-106) at betting apps and the best college football betting sites. These teams have combined to play three games where the total is below 50, and the Over has hit in all three. The total has been surpassed in each of Texas' last two games away from home, while the Over sports a 3-2 record over LSU's last five games overall.
Manning has accounted for three total touchdowns in three straight games, while his counterpart in Sam Leavitt is one of the most dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks in the nation. Leavitt tops the SEC in passing yards and ranks fourth in the conference with eight rushing scores. With offensive firepower on both sides, the computer projects 53 combined points as the Over hits 66% of the time in an A-rated pick. See the model's spread and money-line picks at SportsLine.
In addition to going Over on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
Open Questions
- What is the final score of the game?
- Will Arch Manning play despite being a New Orleans native returning to Louisiana?
- What are the model's specific spread and money-line picks?







