
Nooshi Dadgostar's move increases the pressure on the Center Party ahead of the prime ministerial vote
AI-generated summary
Sweden is in a protracted government formation process where the Center Party's support is crucial for various government options.
A few days ago, the Center Party appeared to be on its way to a moderate-led four-party government. Such a person would be in the minority but still try to get ahead by cooperating with both the right and the left.
Magdalena Andersson was quickly out and closed the door to the left by nodding all support to a bourgeois minority government. And to entice the Center to restrain itself, she expanded with an offer to keep V out of an S-led government.
At the beginning of the week, Jimmie Åkesson made life even more difficult for the Centre's new alternative by making it clear that he will demand influence over the policies of a bourgeois government. Together with Andersson's announcement, this means that the Center cannot claim that such a government would be independent of SD.
This strengthened the phalanx within the Center that wants to stick to the line of not giving the Sweden Democrats political power. And who fear the difficult betrayal debate that would hit C if the party chose an SD-dependent alternative.
The Social Democrats and the Left Party draw completely different conclusions from this. Magdalena Andersson saw hope returning and requested more time for negotiations. Now her team is on the track again, Andersson let it be understood. The S-leader's image was further strengthened when Nooshi Dadgostar appeared yesterday at the red-green party leadership negotiations.
But now the Left Party is shattering Andersson's idyll, by skipping the talks.
Dadgostar's calculation is that V's best chance comes before a fourth prime ministerial vote. If the Center is then faced with either going to a by-election or meeting the Left Party's demands, it will be difficult to nod V. The Center Party has a weak message in a by-election, V assesses.
Dadgostar's actions are a gamble. Pushing forward a prime ministerial vote on Kristersson could force the Center to vote Kristersson down, but it could very well end up in the opposite - that is, that the Center is pressured to support Kristersson. Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist understands just as well as V that her negotiating position is weakened if the Center rejects the bourgeois alternative.
But the management around Dadgostar is prepared to take a chance. The alternatives have shrunk and thus the costs of V failing have also decreased. Sitting in on a negotiation that deals with how to keep one's own party out of power is unappetizing for the V leadership.
Dadgostar's new move can once again place the government ball in Thand Ringqvist's and Centern's lap. It will then be public opinion among the country's centrist parties that will decide the government issue. Ahead of a vote on Ulf Kristersson, the C-people are inexorably faced with the tough decision of the playoffs.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Prime Minister vote on Ulf Kristersson.
Likely · Within weeks

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