
10-year Treasury note yield hits highest level since November 2023 as markets monitor inflation and geopolitical tensions
AI-generated summary
Treasury yields are sensitive to Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader inflation data. Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have influenced global energy markets.
Treasury yields hit multi-year highs on Thursday as traders await the release of U.S. wholesale inflation data later due later in the session.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield — the key benchmark for mortgage borrowing, auto loans and credit card debt — was up more than 2 basis points at 4.867%. That's the highest level since November 2023.
The 2-year Treasury note yield, which is typically more sensitive to short-term Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, hit a high of 4.449%, or its best level going back to July 2024.
The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield, which moves in line with broader geopolitical risks, was up more than 2 basis points at 5.315%.
One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.
U.S. yields increased on Wednesday, after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the department will buy back $6 billion of longer-dated government bonds.
With the 10-year note yield touching its highest level since November 2023, investors are now looking ahead to key wholesale and consumer price data, due Thursday and Friday, respectively, for clearer insights into the U.S. inflation picture and next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
The PPI print — a measure of wholesale goods and services — is expected to show a 5.4% year-over-year increase during August, according to FactSet consensus estimates. That follows a 4.7% increase in last month's report.
Elsewhere, renewed hostilities between the U.S. and Iran continued to push energy prices higher, fueling inflation concerns.
West Texas Intermediate futures were last seen 1.5% higher at $97.45 per barrel early Thursday. International benchmark brent crude rose 0.9% to $102.16.
President Donald Trump said that energy prices would come "tumbling downward" after the midterm elections, adding that the war in the Middle East would conclude "immediately after the election."
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Release of U.S. wholesale inflation data (PPI) on Thursday.
Very likely · Within hours

Press Secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov said that Latvia’s decision to introduce 300 percent duties on Russian and Belarusian grain will damage the Latvian economy itself. Russia plans to redirect export flows to other markets.

China is seeking a reciprocal reduction in tariffs with Washington ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, while the White House is reluctant to impose tariffs on refined copper for fear of raising manufacturing costs before the midterm elections.
Lu Lei, deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, announced on the 10th that the "15th Five-Year Plan for Building a Financial Power" was officially launched. The plan clarifies the goal of forming a modern financial system framework by 2030 and basically establishing a modern financial system with Chinese characteristics that is highly adaptable, competitive and inclusive by 2035.

Coinbase is partnering with payment provider Moov to offer stablecoin infrastructure to community banks and credit unions. The move aims to bridge the gap between traditional finance and crypto ahead of a critical U.S. Senate vote on the Clarity Act next week.

Bitcoin has gained 22% since August 17, but shares of major listed miners are stagnating with a median return of 1.8%. This drop is explained by the massive sale of their BTC reserves to finance AI and HPC infrastructures.
Istanbul Fintech Week 2026 brings together the world of finance with the participation of Nobel Prize winner Daron Acemoğlu. Central banks and industry leaders will attend the event, where the future of artificial intelligence, digital banking and payment systems will be discussed.