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Trump administration 80-85% confident of Iran peace deal
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SCMP Economy6/12/2026Politics1 min readChina

Trump administration 80-85% confident of Iran peace deal

Quick Look

  • The Trump administration expressed 80-85% confidence in signing a peace agreement with Iran in the coming days to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, dismantle Iran's nuclear program, and allow US access to enriched material.
  • A senior official stated the Iranian Supreme Leader is comfortable with the current text, and no sanctions relief will be granted initially.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Trump administration is close to signing a peace agreement with Iran aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending the war in the Middle East. Details of the proposed deal include dismantling Iran's nuclear program and allowing US access to enriched material.

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The Trump administration on Friday said that it is “80-85 per cent” confident of signing the peace agreement with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war in the Middle East.

“We do expect to be signing this agreement over the next few days … if I were to give you a confidence that we were going to be signing this agreement, I maybe would have said 75 per cent this morning; it’s probably more like 80-85 per cent now, but it’s not 100 per cent,” a senior administration official said.

The official also laid out the details of the proposed deal, saying the arrangement reopens the strait, lifts the blockade and dismantles the Iranian nuclear programme. It also allows the US to access Iran’s enriched material, which would be destroyed on-site before being removed from the country.

The official also confirmed that Washington envisions a “tactical negotiation” period of 60 days and claimed that Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei is “comfortable” with the current text.

“People, both on the civilian and military side, both of whom have attested that the supreme leader is comfortable with where we are in the negotiation.”

The administration official also denied reports that Iran would get any sanctions relief for signing the initial agreement.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Peace agreement with Iran signed within days.

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • Will Iran agree to all terms?
  • What are the specific consequences of non-compliance?
  • How will regional powers react?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by SCMP Economy.

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