
Democrats are poised to win the House, and perhaps the Senate too, in the midterm elections, undermining Trump’s power to fulfil his promises to Xi
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping rely on personal ties for US-China relations, but upcoming midterm elections where Democrats may win Congress threaten this dynamic.
AI-generated summary
US Presidents have foreign policy authority, but Trump has concentrated foreign relations heavily into personal interactions.
Amid attempts this year to impress each other with splendour, US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping appear to have decided that the relationship between their two countries should primarily run through their personal relationship.
This has been a hallmark of the Trump years. The American executive branch has always held near-unilateral authority over foreign policy, but Trump has concentrated that in himself. Dozens of ambassadors and senior national security advisers have been replaced by Trump’s intuition, phone calls with other leaders and Truth Social posts that can redefine global alliances overnight.
Xi has built China’s strategic competition with the United States around that understanding. Beijing has largely operated on the assumption that Trump’s control of the Republican Party means he can deliver on any of the promises he makes.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Democrats will win the House and perhaps the Senate in midterm elections
Possible · Within months

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Irish Prime Minister Martin announced that he will establish a dedicated agency to study and prepare for the possibility of future unification with Northern Ireland. The agency will develop a constitutional structure to deal with the growing discussion on unification after Brexit, and plans to propose preliminary plans before the end of this year.