
Oil prices fall as markets bet on diplomacy over war following Republican defeat
AI-generated summary
Republicans suffered sweeping losses in Tuesday's midterm elections. Vice President JD Vance blamed the Iran war for the Republican losses, and Trump acknowledged the war was a key factor in the defeat while defending his handling of it.
US President Donald Trump is reportedly asking aides whether Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth should stay, and Republicans are pointing at him over the Iran war after Tuesday's midterm rout.
Publicly, Trump says Hegseth is "doing a very good job".
CBS News reported Trump has been asking advisers, in person and by phone, whether Hegseth should stay after Republicans' losses, citing multiple sources. Other sources said he has not decided to replace him.
Possible successors: One source told CBS that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has been floated as a replacement.
The White House said Trump has "full confidence" in Hegseth.
CNN reported that GOP lawmakers and allies are increasingly blaming Hegseth for the war, with a possible impeachment vote looming as early as next week.
Vice President JD Vance wrote that the reason Republicans lost was the war. Trump told The Wall Street Journal the war was a piece of the defeat, but defended his handling of it.
CBS reported some White House aides expect part of the blame to fall on Adm. Dan Caine, and that Democrats were already trying to impeach Hegseth before the election.
The Atlantic reported earlier this week that Trump had been seeking someone to blame for the course of the war, with frustration directed at Caine and Hegseth.
What's next: Watch out whether Trump moves against Hegseth, how Democrats use their new majorities to investigate or impeach him, and whether any shake-up changes Iran policy as Trump chooses between strikes and a deal.
Oil prices extended their sharp retreat Thursday, with Brent sliding to its lowest level in about two months as traders bet on diplomacy over a return to war.
As of 9:59 am Beijing time on Nov. 5, Brent crude futures stood at $93.63 a barrel, down 99 cents, or 1.05%. WTI futures fell 99 cents, or 1.12%, to $87.13. Murban physical crude slipped $1.27, or 1.24%, to $100.90.
Thursday's dip follows a steep fall earlier in the week. Brent dropped nearly 8% on Wednesday and traded below $100 for the first time since early October. It peaked near $118 on Friday and settled at $103.60 on Tuesday. That puts today's price roughly a fifth below Friday's peak, by my calculation.
The drop followed Democrats' sweep of Congress in the US midterms. Vice President JD Vance blamed the Iran war for the Republican losses. Markets bet Trump may shift toward diplomacy, with Qatar stepping up mediation, and his statement that the US has no immediate plans to strike Iran eased escalation fears.
US President Donald Trump on Wednesday acknowledged that the Iran war was the key factor in his party's sweeping midterm election losses, after Vice President JD Vance urged Republicans to be "honest" about the unpopular conflict's impact.
Asked if he agreed with Vance's remark that the Iran was "the reason we lost," Trump, speaking to reporters at his White House ballroom construction site, said: "I think it's largely true because it drove the gasoline up a little bit short term."
"But at the same time, if I had it to do again, I'd have to do it again. Because long term, it's the only answer. You can't let Iran have a nuclear weapon," he added.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Trump may replace Pete Hegseth as Defence Secretary
Possible · Within days
Democrats may investigate or impeach Hegseth using new congressional majorities
Likely · Within weeks
Trump may shift Iran policy toward diplomacy rather than strikes
Possible · Within weeks

A nationwide survey of more than 90,000 voters conducted by NORC and research partners for the Post found Trump's approval rating at approximately 39% against 61% disapproval. More than half of voters cited the economy and jobs as leading concerns, nearly nine in ten considered the cost of living a major or crucial factor, around 80% reported moderate or severe financial hardship from inflation, approximately 60% believed the US decision to attack Iran was wrong, and more than a third identified the Iran war as an important issue in their congressional vote.

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Democrats flipped a Senate seat in North Carolina and won races in Georgia and New Hampshire on Tuesday as they sought to recapture congressional majorities and break Republicans' unified hold on Washington, with polls still open in many states during midterm elections serving as a referendum on President Donald Trump's second term.

Ballot machines malfunctioned in Westchester County, New York, during a contested House race, prompting unfounded voter fraud claims from pro-Trump influencers while election officials assured all ballots would be counted through emergency procedures.

The United Arab Emirates celebrated UAE Flag Day on November 3, 2026, with nationwide festivities and events marking the occasion.

Americans vote Tuesday in midterm elections that could strip Donald Trump of House and Senate control, with Democrats needing three House gains and four Senate seats to take both chambers amid anger over living costs and the war against Iran.