U.S. Treasury yields ease as investors await economic data and Fed remarks

U.S. Treasury yields eased early Tuesday as investors awaited new clues on the state of the U.S. economy.

Shortly after 5 a.m. ET, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was 2 basis points lower at 4.943%. Yields on the 2-year note were down 1 basis point to 4.741%, while the 30-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 5.272%.

One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.

Investors are awaiting weekly employment figures from ADP, due for release at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Fed Vice Chair Philip N. Jefferson will deliver remarks at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Treasury Market Conference at 10:20 a.m. ET on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Michael S. Barr, a member of the central bank's Board of Governors, will speak at a housing affordability summit in Chicago.

It comes after Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee told an audience in London that he was "especially attuned to elevated inflation in service-sector industries, and to any evidence that AI data center construction is spilling out of its own lane and raising aggregate output beyond what the economy can absorb."

"If demand overheats, there is no ambiguity about how the Fed needs to respond," he said.

Goolsbee also noted that forecasters had spent more than a year pushing back the date when inflation was supposed to peak and start falling.

"Originally it was supposed to happen in Q4 2025. Then Q1 2026. Then Q2, then Q3, then Q4 — and now sometime in 2027," he said. "That's not a comforting pattern."

Oil prices remain in focus on Tuesday, with prices rising after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said all Iranian airlines will be shut down from Wednesday.

Futures for international benchmark Brent crude for November delivery were last up more than 1% to trade at $101.53 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for advanced 0.7% to $96.45 per barrel.

President Donald Trump will meet with world leaders at the UN General Assembly on Tuesday, against the backdrop of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.