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BackU.S. Treasury Yields Rise Amid Middle East Tensions, Ceasefire Reports
U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Amid Middle East Tensions, Ceasefire Reports
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CNBC World8 hours agoBusiness1 min read

U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Amid Middle East Tensions, Ceasefire Reports

Quick Look

  • Treasury yields increased across the curve due to escalating Middle East tensions, though reports of ceasefire proposals tempered oil prices.
  • Investors are monitoring energy prices, developments in the Iran conflict, and an upcoming U.S.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

U.S. Treasury yields rose due to escalating tensions across the Middle East, with reports of mediation efforts tempering oil prices. Strategists warn government bonds remain vulnerable to energy prices and the Iran conflict.

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U.S. Treasury yields were higher across the curve on Tuesday as investors mapped escalating tensions across the Middle East and reports of mediation efforts to put a stop to ongoing hostilities.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note — the key benchmark for U.S. government borrowing — was up more than 3 basis points at 4.63%.

The 2-year Treasury note yield, which more closely tracks short-term Federal Reserve interest rate policy, gained more than 4 basis points to 4.264%. The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was edged up less than 2 basis points to 5.133%.

One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move inversely to each other.

BMO Capital Markets said the Treasury market has remained relatively steady despite the latest escalation in the Middle East, as reports that mediators have tabled fresh ceasefire proposals tempered oil prices on Tuesday.

With little U.S. economic data due this week, however, strategists warn that government bonds could remain vulnerable to abrupt moves in energy prices and developments in the Iran conflict.

"The degree to which nominal yields can decline will be tempered by the market's ongoing focus on the energy sector and geopolitical tensions," the BMO strategists said, adding that July and August inflation reports would be needed before investors could conclude that energy-driven inflation pressures had peaked.

In the U.K., 10-year gilt yields rose on Monday after new prime minister Andy Burnham said he would use flexibility within the government's fiscal rules. 10-year gilt yields were up slightly Tuesday.

Investors will be monitoring the latest S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI report due Friday, which measures the economic health of American manufacturing and services sectors.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI report will be released

    Certain · Within days

Open Questions

  • How will the Iran conflict evolve?
  • What will the S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI report reveal?
  • Will energy-driven inflation pressures peak soon?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by CNBC World.

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