
AI-generated summary
The Grandchildren Law, promoted by the Government and its parliamentary partners, aims to expand access to Spanish nationality and the right to vote to descendants of Spaniards who emigrated between 1936 and 1955 for any reason, not just political persecution. The Supreme Court has provisionally suspended its application after considering possible effects on the electoral roll.
A large majority of Spaniards consider that the Supreme Court has done well by provisionally suspending the application of the so-called Nietos Law, promoted by the Government and which sought to open the way to obtaining nationality and the right to vote for all descendants of Spaniards who left the country between 1936 and 1955 for any reason, and not only for reasons of political persecution. According to a survey by Sigma Dos for EL MUNDO, up to 65.1% of respondents agree with said suspension, while 30.7% do not agree with it and 7.8% do not know or do not answer the question.
Specifically, 39.2% of those surveyed maintain that the suspension is "a necessary measure to guarantee the correct configuration of the census and avoid possible distortions in the next electoral processes." That is, up to almost 40% believe that the rule promoted by the Government and its parliamentary partners could distort the results of the polls if those more than 500,000 hypothetical new voters could participate in the next general elections.
Up to 22.3% continue to see the suspension as positive, but in a more moderate position: they are those who subscribe that "it is a reasonable precautionary measure while the criteria used for registration in the census are reviewed and clarified." They do not point as directly to the electoral blow, as the first 39.2% do, but they prefer not to admit those half a million descendants of Spaniards in exile without due guarantees that they are operating in accordance with the law.
On the other side, those who do not support the precautionary suspension decided by the Supreme Court, there are 17.9% who affirm that, as stated in the Sigma Dos survey options, the judicial measure "represents an unjustified limitation on the right to vote of people who have legally acquired Spanish nationality."
And finally, 12.8% of those questioned believe that the suspension "represents judicial intervention that modifies, in practice, the effects of a regulation approved by the legislator." This group points more conceptually to one of the central government's usual arguments in recent times: that of opposition to its measures by the judiciary, the famous lawfare, the instrumentalization of judicial decisions for ideological purposes and objectives.
Support for the first option, the most drastic when it comes to rejecting the measure because it is considered a possible interference in the elections, is almost completely even between women and men: 39.1% for them, 39.1% for them.
The age group that supports it the most is those over 75 years of age: 47.2 of those surveyed in that age range think this way. Strikingly, 45.9% of voters from the Socialist Party itself subscribe to the first two options and therefore believe the suspension of the law promoted by the very party from which voters are claimed is positive - something that certainly does not happen in Sumar, whose voters only reject the suspension by 21.4%; On the other hand, 69.4% of voters of this party reject the judicial measure.
Also striking is the number of non-voting respondents in the previous elections who support that the Grandchildren Law should have been suspended: 63.7% of that, let's say, non-electorate. The party that most opposes the Law through the mouths of its voters is logically the one that has the harshest positions against immigration, Vox: 89.5% of its voters believe that the suspension is desirable. Even so, those of the Popular Party in that same position are not so far away: 88.2%, almost a demostatistical copy.
The survey also asked to what degree Spaniards agree with the possibility that "people who, without living in Spain, can elect the country's political leaders." 46.9% of those surveyed do not agree “at all” with the statement, and 19.2% “a little” agree. "Completely" and "quite a bit" agree with this possibility, in total, 29.9%.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Supreme Court will definitively rule on the constitutionality of the Grandchildren Law in the coming months.
Likely · Within months
Parties in favor of the law will present appeals to the Constitutional Court.
Possible · Within weeks
The Government suffered a defeat in Congress on housing that shows the breakdown of the investiture bloc and increases pressure to bring forward the elections. Pedro Sánchez is evaluating this option in the face of social unrest, the electoral interest of the PSOE and the opportunity to turn the elections into a plebiscite against the right and vulture funds, although he has not yet made a final decision.
The housing decrees were rejected in the Congress of Deputies after the joint opposition of the PP, Vox and Junts, despite the attempts of the Government and its allies to save them. The vote ended with 178 votes against 172 in the first decree and 184 against 166 in the second. The debate was marked by tensions between parties, accusations of betrayal and accusations that Junts was responsible for the failure, while sectors of the PSOE already consider that the blockade could accelerate an electoral advance.
Congress rejected the Government's anti-eviction decrees after the votes against PP, Vox and Junts, while slogans such as 'vulture funds govern Congress' and 'shame' were heard from the galleries. The case of Maricarmen, whose situation has mobilized protests from Ceuta to Puerta del Sol, became a symbol of the housing crisis. Junts justified their vote in defense of Catalan interests, despite the fact that their electorate prioritizes housing. The PSOE sees social unrest as an electoral opportunity, although it warns that the left does not offer voter alternatives. The Government insists that housing is a structural problem linked to salaries, public services and transportation.

The Popular Party asks Pedro Sánchez to call elections immediately after the repeal of his two housing decrees, although it doubts that he will do so. PP sources remember previous occasions in which Sánchez avoided elections despite pressure, and warn that they will only believe in a call when they see it. Meanwhile, the PP appears prepared to face elections in November or December, confident of achieving an absolute majority with Vox, and criticizes the Government for using housing as an electoral excuse and for alleged attempts to hide cases of corruption.

After the fall of the Maricarmen decrees in Congress, CCOO and UGT consider calling a national general strike for housing, under pressure from the Tenants' Union, while they analyze its legal fit to prevent it from being considered illegal for political reasons.
Junts voted against the housing decrees, withdrawing its support for the Sánchez Government and increasing the likelihood of early elections. The article analyzes the history of political turns of Junts and its leader Puigdemont, from the unilateral declaration of independence to the dependence on their votes for Sánchez's investiture through the Amnesty law. The irony is highlighted that those who previously called for Puigdemont's prison are now celebrating their decision, and there is a warning about a possible polarized electoral scenario between housing, immigration and Ceuta, with massive mobilizations throughout Spain that could define the future of the Government.