Vox shakes up the electoral map: close to the PSOE in Andalusia, surpasses it in Murcia and overtakes the PP in Catalonia
Quick Look
- A survey reveals that the PSOE and Sumar repeat at minimum levels after the electoral advance, while Vox reaches a record at the expense of the PP.
- Feijóo is growing as a presidential option for 60% of Spaniards and Abascal ties with Sánchez and Díaz.
- The alternative left loses presence in six communities and adds only nine seats, 23 less than in 2023.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The poll is carried out after an early election that has reconfigured the Spanish political map, with significant losses for the left and gains for the right, particularly Vox.
Poll The left remains KO after the advance: PSOE and Sumar repeat at minimum levels while Vox achieves a record at the expense of the PP
Politics Feijóo grows as a future president for 60% of Spaniards and Abascal already ties with Sánchez and Díaz
For its part, Sumar suffers a general disaster that leads to its complete disappearance from six communities, while it manages to resist with a reduced presence in Madrid, with three seats; in the Valencian Community and Catalonia, with two seats; and in the Balearic Islands and Aragon with a single gap, for a total of nine seats, 23 less than four years ago. In parallel, the alternative left registers the solo appearance, for now, of Podemos, with two seats concentrated in Madrid and Catalonia.
The territorial impact of all the vectors outlined alters traditional balances throughout the country. The Andalusian case is revealing, where the conservative tide raises Vox to 16 seats (compared to nine in 2023), while the PP consolidates 25 and the PSOE stands at 17, that is, only one more than Abascal in the traditional socialist breadbasket. From the disappearance of Sumar, Adelante Andalucía (two seats) wins.
The rise of the right-wing electorate also shakes the north and center of the peninsula. In Castilla y León, Vox jumps to seven representatives, taking ground from the PP, which drops to 16 seats (-2), and the PSOE, which remains at eight (-4). Likewise, the party is advancing strongly in Castilla-La Mancha to six seats, in Aragón it reaches two deputies and in Extremadura it almost ties at two seats with a PSOE (3) in decline. Faced with this tide, the Basque Country stands like a wall where Vox continues without obtaining representation, as in Galicia, where the BNG takes advantage of the progressive setback to gain a second seat.
On the opposite side, the Government coalition faces a general setback that significantly reduces the PSOE bench from 121 seats to 103 in one legislature. In the general erosion of the left's vote, not even Catalan socialism acts as a containment dam. Its 16 deputies in Catalonia are three less than in 2023. This coexists with a readjustment within the sovereign bloc, where ERC reaches nine seats and Junts saves its seven -Alianca Catalana does not appear-, in a stage marked by the reconfiguration of the autonomous space. The Commons (Sumar) suffer a severe setback, from seven to two seats, waiting to know the impact of the recent electoral agreement between ERC and Podemos led by Rufián.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Vox will continue its rise in the next regional and municipal elections
Likely · Within months
The PSOE will try to recover ground in the areas where it has lost support through adjustments to its territorial strategy
Possible · Within months
Open Questions
- How will this result affect government negotiations at the national and regional level?
- Will Sumar be able to recover from its territorial collapse?
- What role will Podemos play as an alternative force after its solo appearance in some regions?






