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下屆花蓮縣長選舉登記截止:游淑貞、張峻、魏嘉賢、羅佩秦四人角逐
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自由时报44 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChina

下屆花蓮縣長選舉登記截止:游淑貞、張峻、魏嘉賢、羅佩秦四人角逐

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下屆花蓮縣長選舉登記截止,共有游淑貞、張峻、魏嘉賢及羅佩秦4人參選。由於民進黨未推派人選,且游、張、魏三人均出身藍營,中間選民與綠營支持者的動向將成為決定勝負的關鍵。

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下屆花蓮縣長選舉登記截止,共有4人完成登記。民進黨未推派人選,導致藍營背景候選人呈現三腳督局面。

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下屆花蓮縣長登記截止,共有國民黨游淑貞、無黨籍張峻、魏嘉賢及台灣工黨羅佩秦等4人完成登記;呈現游、張、魏三人激烈的「三腳督」局面,由於3人均出身藍營,加上民進黨並未推派人選,因此未來逾三成的中間選民及綠營、罷團的支持傾向,將成為最後勝出的關鍵。

國民黨徵召的游淑貞為現任吉安鄉長,在立院總召傅崐萁及現任縣長徐榛蔚力挺下,以國民黨傳統的組織戰及社團資源鞏固為主,加上在原住民選票上擁有優勢,現階段在民調及支持度上處於微幅領先地位,但受到「反傅」風潮影響,原來的助力無形中變成阻力,如何固守國民票源將成為是否勝選的關鍵。

無黨籍張峻為現任議長,由於曾任國民黨花蓮縣黨部主委,在藍營中有一定的支持者及影響力,去年大罷免的過程中,已被罷團視為關鍵性的領袖人物,且獲得綠營地方民代支持,如果在最後階段獲得民進黨傾全力相助,勝選的機率將大幅增加。

以無黨籍參選的魏嘉賢,曾任2屆花蓮市長及4屆縣議員,擁有豐富的行政及選舉經驗,他的家族在花蓮縱橫政壇長達半世紀以上,在地方上的人脈盤根錯節,和藍綠陣營均有深交,加上他的弟弟現任花蓮市長魏嘉彥尋求連任,在花蓮市擁有絕對的優勢;魏家在花蓮長期經營殯葬業及運動社團,基層的實力相當紮實,未來若能在中南區鄉鎮及原住民選票上獲得突破,勝出的機率普遍被看好。

台灣工黨推薦的羅佩秦,陸軍官校畢業,有原住民血統,雖然和花蓮的淵源不深,但在去年到光復協助救災,看到花蓮災後百業蕭條,主要政見將以發消費券,帶動地方經濟等訴求為主,希望能得到選民的共鳴。

地方政治人士分析,目前游淑貞雖然領先,但並未具備絕對優勢,且必須防範其他兩人猛挖藍營票源的挑戰,魏、張雖然暫時落後,但因逾三成的中間選民尚未表態,加上民進黨中央仍未明確表態,外界關注的「反傅大聯盟」仍有形成的可能,多數選民還在觀望風向的變化,選戰未來將日趨激烈,何人勝出仍有極大的變數。

Open Questions

  • 民進黨中央最終是否會表態支持特定候選人?
  • 中間選民的最終投票傾向為何?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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