The nine-in-one general election has entered the final two weeks. Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan and Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang are actively competing for the election. According to the analysis of the Facebook fan page "Voice and Politics", the controversy over Luo Dayou's gender comments continues to spread. Jiang Wanan is trying to gather blue camp supporters through street sweeps and large-scale parades, while Shen Boyang is bringing the "ocean current" to Taoyuan and other counties and cities. The two sides have different mobilization models. Whether they can convert online attention into actual votes has become the key to the election.
"Volume View Politics" published an article pointing out that Luo Dayou's recent views on the pan-blue live channel reached about 20,000, with about 18,500 red and about 14,900 green. Among them, the number of pan-blue and red views increased by about 60% and nearly 80% respectively from the previous day. Fanzhuan believes that Luo Dayou's criticism of unmarried and childless female politicians caused controversy. Although it intensified the opposition between different political positions, it did not mean that the relevant voice could be converted into central votes for the Kuomintang.
As for Jiang Wanan, fans pointed out that the number of live broadcast views on his green channel was about 89,000, which was higher than the blue 62,000 and the red 26,000. Although Jiang Wanan took leave to participate in the election campaign and visited markets and night markets intensively, he has faced doubts from the outside world from the Luo Dayou controversy to the Baolin Tea House case and the Jitai Da Zhi case. Increased exposure does not necessarily mean a simultaneous increase in support.
The fan blog also mentioned that Jiang Wanan recently returned to Raohe Night Market Dongfa. The store had previously received negative reviews from netizens due to the dispute between Shen Boyang and Jiang Wanan's signatures, and finally the signatures of both parties were whitened out. Faced with the visit of Jiang Wanan and many representatives of the Kuomintang this time, the store chose to keep a low profile and did not want to be interviewed or photographed. It only hoped that all parties could consume normally and avoid causing any trouble.
On the other hand, Sun Peixia, a scallion pancake stall vendor at the Gongguan night market who had previously cheered for Shen Boyang, did not sell her stall that night when Jiang Wanan went to Gongguan to sweep the streets. Instead, she went to Taoyuan to participate in a political commentary program. Fanzhuan believes that this reflects that some supporters who were originally just ordinary citizens have begun to actively participate in political discussions, but it cannot be concluded that the two sides are deliberately staggered.
Shen Boyang went to Zhongli, Taoyuan, and accompanied the Democratic Progressive Party's Taoyuan mayoral candidate Huang Shijie in a car sweep. Along the way, supporters waved ocean current flags. Fans analyzed that Shen Boyang has recently traveled to Taichung, Kaohsiung, Keelung and Taoyuan to participate in events, trying to bring the accumulated attention in Taipei to other counties and cities. However, the enthusiasm of the supporters at the scene does not mean that the local votes have been transferred.
"Voice Aware of Politics" pointed out that Jiang Wanan held the "Safety Parade" on the 14th, while Shen Boyang arranged the "Ocean Current Festival" and held the "Battle of Guandu" on the 15th. The former mobilizes through existing organizations, while the latter emphasizes the independent participation of supporters. Both models have their own characteristics. What is truly worth observing is whether they can continue to drive voter participation after the event is over.
The fan post finally said that in the final stage of the election, Jiang Wanan needs to regroup his supporters, while Shen Boyang faces the test of how to sustain the enthusiasm of the masses. Compared with the number of campaigners or online views, who can win over undecided voters and turn political attention into voting actions on November 28 is an important issue in the last two weeks.
